Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:43:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FD
0xfd7f…298d
crypto · 197 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$175 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$175 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$26
Realized−$175
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses74 / 122
Est. fees paid−$32
Open positions1
Markets (closed)196 / 197
History coverage22d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day35.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 1 History 196 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$15
7 days−$29
14 days−$125
30 days−$175
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $12 $24 +$12 (+92%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 81¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Tallon Griekspoor 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnen Greet Minnen 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Marie Bouzkova 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 68¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Ugo Humbert 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$10 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$11 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$8 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $27 −$11 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $27 +$36 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $60 −$22 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$23 +148%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$11 +67%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $2 +$2 +88%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $8 +$1 +19%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 11 $3 −$3 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $2 +$2 +98%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2 $0 -4%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 11 $11 −$3 -24%
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnen Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Lyon: Daniel Rincon vs Dali Blanch Jun 11 $15 −$1 -8%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $147 −$6 -4%
ITF Hurghada: Viktoria Morvayova vs Nada Fouad Jun 11 $2 $0 -15%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 10 $6 $0 -5%
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Christopher O'Connell Jun 10 $6 $0 -3%
ITF Vaasa: Jules Leroux vs Leonardo Rossi Jun 10 $4 $0 -5%
Ilkley: Iryna Shymanovich vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 10 $4 $0 -5%
Bratislava: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Emilio Nava Jun 09 $9 −$9 -96%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 09 $18 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 08 $25 −$13 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 07 $13 +$12 +89%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $25 +$9 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 07 $13 −$12 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 07 $26 −$13 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 06 $38 +$42 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 06 $5 −$3 -52%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $347 −$18 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 06 $62 −$60 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 06 $5 −$3 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 05 $12 +$10 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 05 $25 +$10 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 05 $16 +$16 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 05 $16 +$14 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 05 $9 +$8 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 05 $9 −$9 -98%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 05 $28 −$9 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 05 $15 −$14 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 05 $16 +$22 +143%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 05 $16 +$44 +276%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 05 $9 +$8 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 05 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 05 $16 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 05 $15 +$4 +25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 37% −$125
sports 34% −$27
other 21% −$10
world 6% −$10
politics 1% −$3
weather 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Down 41¢ $8 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $12 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Up 34¢ $8 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $13 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Down 31¢ $14 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $25 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $21 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $18 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $20 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $28 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Down 22¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $64 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Up 23¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $44 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 66¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $39 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $16 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $24 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $13 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $4 10h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Athletics 73¢ $4 13h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 37¢ $2 13h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 98¢ $6 45h
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic BUY Marie Bouzkova 53¢ $3 2d
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios SELL Sho Shimabukuro 93¢ $4 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 31 -7.7% -16.5% 29% 29% -14.1%
≤30d 196 -3.0% -12.2% 38% 36% -13.3%
≤90d 196 -3.0% -12.2% 38% 36% -13.3%
all 196 -3.0% -12.2% 38% 36% -13.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover35.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.2% 36% -13.3%
10% ← realistic here -20.6% 31% -21.6%
15% -28.3% 24% -29.2%
20% -35.3% 20% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $26.49 · official $26.49 (match) · 840 history records