Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:18:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FD
0xfd71…722e
crypto · 1611 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$307 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$307 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$307
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses1166 / 445
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1611 / 1611
History coverage21d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day138.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1611 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$108
7 days−$133
14 days−$377
30 days−$307
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$5 +220%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$4 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$8 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $35 +$4 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$7 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$8 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$272
other 0% −$35
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $9 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $10 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Down 23¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $12 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $11 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 44¢ $12 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 18¢ $11 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $11 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $15 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Up 18¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $10 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-12.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 531 -8.4% -17.1% 72% 33% -12.6%
≤30d 1611 -2.9% -12.1% 72% 40% -11.3%
≤90d 1611 -2.9% -12.1% 72% 40% -11.3%
all 1611 -2.9% -12.1% 72% 40% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover138.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.1% 40% -11.3%
10% ← realistic here -20.5% 7% -19.8%
15% -28.2% 3% -27.6%
20% -35.2% 2% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records