Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:35:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FD
0xfd66…f510
sports · 71 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$3,519 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4,094 · open −$575
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,014
Realized+$4,094
Unrealized−$575
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses32 / 37
Whale WR (big bets)78%
Est. fees paid−$752
Open positions2
Markets (closed)69 / 71
History coverage29d
Avg bet$683
Trades / day14.7
Drawdown57%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 69 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,495
7 days+$526
14 days+$4,060
30 days+$4,094
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 33¢ 28¢ $1,209 $1,013 −$196 (-16%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner 9z 19¢ 0¢ $380 $1 −$379 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Monte 32¢ 0¢ $1,290 $0 −$1,290 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Anyones Legend 31¢ 0¢ $434 $0 −$434 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs ex-Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winner Team Lynx 44¢ 0¢ $393 $0 −$393 (-100%)
Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5) DN SOOPers 58¢ 0¢ $580 $0 −$580 (-100%)
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage FULL SENSE 57¢ 0¢ $285 $0 −$285 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs Nemiga 55¢ 0¢ $275 $0 −$275 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC - Map 2 Winner RUSTEC 40¢ 0¢ $432 $0 −$432 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner JD Gaming 32¢ 0¢ $320 $0 −$320 (-100%)
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) KT Rolster 51¢ 0¢ $408 $0 −$408 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 34¢ 0¢ $680 $0 −$680 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team - Game 2 Winner Weibo Gaming Youth Team 10¢ 0¢ $88 $0 −$88 (-100%)
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back - Game 2 Winner Grind Back 35¢ 0¢ $140 $0 −$140 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner Natus Vincere 32¢ 0¢ $759 $0 −$759 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 59¢ 0¢ $560 $0 −$560 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Anyones Legend 32¢ 0¢ $640 $0 −$640 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 51¢ 0¢ $1,020 $0 −$1,020 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner G2 48¢ 0¢ $1,920 $0 −$1,920 (-100%)
Valorant: MIBR vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs MIBR 51¢ 0¢ $510 $0 −$510 (-100%)
Game Handicap: SHG (-1.5) vs GAM Esports (+1.5) Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming 28¢ 0¢ $138 $0 −$138 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming Junior 8¢ 0¢ $214 $0 −$214 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia Masters Group A CTBC Flying Oyster Academy 21¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs Tricked 60¢ 0¢ $164 $0 −$164 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner B8 26¢ 0¢ $1,513 $0 −$1,513 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Jun 13 $580 +$256 +44%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $606 +$682 +112%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $1,705 +$617 +36%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $1,935 −$1,920 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $680 −$680 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,271 +$529 +42%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,580 +$2,420 +153%
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) Jun 12 $414 −$408 -99%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $185 +$315 +170%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1,300 −$1,290 -99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1,546 −$1,513 -98%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $255 +$11 +4%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1,916 +$1,584 +83%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1,020 −$1,020 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $218 −$213 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $8 $0 -2%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia Jun 11 $43 −$41 -97%
Game Handicap: G2N (-1.5) vs Partizan Sangal (+1.5) Jun 10 $290 $0 -0%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Gro Jun 10 $364 −$344 -94%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Jun 10 $3 −$1 -27%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 09 $2,630 +$1,370 +52%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $254 +$53 +21%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs RUSTEC - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $33 +$3 +8%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $432 −$432 -100%
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Bebop - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $793 −$68 -8%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team - Game 2 Winn Jun 09 $95 −$88 -94%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $396 +$804 +203%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $1,020 +$980 +96%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $640 −$640 -100%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta Jun 08 $567 −$560 -99%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $620 −$434 -70%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $656 +$844 +129%
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group S Jun 07 $285 −$285 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $693 −$13 -2%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $321 −$320 -100%
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Betclic Apogee Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 05 $112 −$112 -100%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $36 −$1 -3%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $1,214 +$786 +65%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 04 $530 +$103 +20%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 04 $250 +$100 +40%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winner Jun 04 $6 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG - Map 1 Winner Jun 04 $7 $0 -4%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 03 $2,978 +$72 +2%
Dota 2: Enjoy vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 03 $182 +$284 +156%
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffs Jun 03 $95 −$95 -100%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winner Jun 03 $2,901 +$214 +7%
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back - Game 2 Winner Jun 03 $195 −$136 -70%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 02 $2,097 +$2,403 +115%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 02 $310 +$74 +24%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$3,519
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 29¢ $55 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 33¢ $168 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 33¢ $337 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 33¢ $337 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 33¢ $337 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 19¢ $80 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 19¢ $28 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 19¢ $20 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 19¢ $25 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 19¢ $148 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 19¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 19¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 19¢ $72 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs SELL XLG Gaming 43¢ $836 2h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 29¢ $146 2h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 29¢ $434 2h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 43¢ $167 6h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 43¢ $11 6h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 43¢ $4 6h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 43¢ $4 6h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 43¢ $38 6h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL EDward Gaming 46¢ $68 6h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 45¢ $2 7h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 45¢ $33 7h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 45¢ $3 7h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 45¢ $314 7h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 45¢ $24 7h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 45¢ $7 7h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 48¢ $975 8h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 48¢ $960 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-20.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 -14.0% -22.2% 41% 35% -7.5%
≤30d 69 -11.7% -20.1% 46% 35% -1.5%
≤90d 69 -11.7% -20.1% 46% 35% -1.5%
all 69 -11.7% -20.1% 46% 35% -1.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.7 tr/day
realistic slip~11%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.1% 35% -1.5%
10% ← realistic here -27.7% 32% -10.9%
15% -34.7% 30% -19.5%
20% -41.1% 22% -27.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,013.82 · official $838.67 · 469 history records