Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:43:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FD
0xfd65…3202
crypto · 708 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$210 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$210 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$210
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses506 / 202
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)708 / 708
History coverage58d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day14.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 708 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$313
7 days−$246
14 days−$255
30 days−$256
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Athletics vs. Texas Rangers Jun 13 $25 −$4 -15%
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5 Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Huzhou: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Han Shi Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Will EC Bahia vs. Santos FC end in a draw? Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Sporting CP vs. CD Tondela: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 78% −$101
sports 12% −$104
world 5% +$28
weather 4% −$14
other 1% −$19
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $3 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-11.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 643 -2.1% -11.4% 74% 61% -19.3%
≤30d 672 -2.5% -11.8% 72% 60% -19.2%
≤90d 708 -2.6% -11.9% 71% 59% -16.0%
all 708 -2.6% -11.9% 71% 59% -16.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.9% 59% -16.0%
10% -20.3% 39% -24.0%
15% -28.0% 14% -31.3%
20% -35.1% 5% -38.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1475 history records