trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +53.7% | +39.1% | 40% | 40% | +69.4% |
| ≤30d | 18 | +27.4% | +15.3% | 50% | 50% | +31.7% |
| ≤90d | 19 | +32.5% | +19.9% | 53% | 53% | +35.9% |
| all | 19 | +32.5% | +19.9% | 53% | 53% | +35.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +19.9% | 53% | +35.9% |
| 10% | +8.4% | 53% | +22.9% |
| 15% | -2.1% | 47% | +11.0% |
| 20% | -11.7% | 47% | +0.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be at least 450k? | Yes | 35¢ | 94¢ | $50 | $133 | +$83 (+166%) |
| Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m? | Yes | 27¢ | 52¢ | $20 | $39 | +$19 (+93%) |
| Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top Spotify album for 2026? | Yes | 37¢ | 44¢ | $25 | $30 | +$5 (+21%) |
| Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m? | Yes | 11¢ | 5¢ | $12 | $6 | −$6 (-51%) |
| Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 70m? | Yes | 9¢ | 3¢ | $15 | $5 | −$10 (-68%) |
| Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 145m? | Yes | 3¢ | 2¢ | $5 | $3 | −$2 (-32%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Home" be said during the next Spider-Man trailer? | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will "Heart" be said during the next Spider-Man trailer? | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m? | Jun 14 | $15 | +$14 | +91% |
| Will "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 17m? | Jun 13 | $16 | +$68 | +435% |
| Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m? | Jun 13 | $25 | −$14 | -58% |
| Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 2 | Jun 07 | $5 | +$6 | +110% |
| Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than | Jun 07 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m? | Jun 07 | $56 | +$40 | +72% |
| Will "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m? | Jun 06 | $16 | −$10 | -64% |
| Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 25m | May 31 | $16 | +$24 | +156% |
| Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 28m | May 29 | $5 | −$5 | -95% |
| Will "Michael" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 19m? | May 25 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 11.5m | May 25 | $16 | −$13 | -83% |
| Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be l | May 24 | $5 | −$4 | -69% |
| Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be b | May 22 | $5 | +$9 | +166% |
| Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m? | May 22 | $15 | +$9 | +61% |
| Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be b | May 22 | $10 | +$3 | +25% |
| Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be b | May 22 | $10 | +$15 | +147% |
| Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m? | May 18 | $15 | +$19 | +124% |