Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:35:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FD
0xfd55…2375
crypto · 283 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,832 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,828 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$1,828
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses163 / 119
Open positions1
Markets (closed)282 / 283
History coverage87d
Avg bet$51
Trades / day8.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 282 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$35
7 days+$35
14 days+$35
30 days+$35
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 47¢ 28¢ $10 $6 −$4 (-41%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $148 $0 −$148 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$3 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +84%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +58%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $105 −$4 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$4 +296%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$10 +420%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$8 +368%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$99 +488%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $33 +$10 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$16 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +89%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $45 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$11 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $107 −$105 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$1,836
tech 1% +$8
other 1% $0
politics 0% −$4
world 0% $0
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $100 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $3 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET SELL Up 33¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET SELL Down 3¢ $1 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $12 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $6 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $2 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $4 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $6 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-17.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 70 -1.8% -11.1% 44% 39% -5.7%
≤30d 70 -1.8% -11.1% 44% 39% -5.7%
≤90d 282 -9.2% -17.9% 58% 38% -22.3%
all 282 -9.2% -17.9% 58% 38% -22.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.9% 38% -22.3%
10% -25.7% 25% -29.7%
15% -32.9% 18% -36.5%
20% -39.5% 13% -42.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.85 · official $5.85 (match) · 776 history records