Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:56:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FD
0xfd55…f905
weather · 1045 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$21,895 -30%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$13,371 · open −$8,097
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$335
Realized−$13,371
Unrealized−$8,097
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses38 / 78
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$24
Open positions462
Markets (closed)116 / 1045
History coverage2d
Avg bet$70
Trades / day2017.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit76%
Chart Positions 462 History 116 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13,371
7 days−$13,371
14 days−$13,371
30 days−$13,371
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Avaí win Brazil Série B? Yes 5¢ 35¢ $2 $12 +$10 (+665%)
Will Criciúma win Brazil Série B? Yes 5¢ 33¢ $2 $11 +$10 (+625%)
Will Ceará win Brazil Série B? Yes 5¢ 30¢ $2 $10 +$9 (+568%)
Will Juventude win Brazil Série B? Yes 5¢ 30¢ $2 $10 +$9 (+551%)
Will Fortaleza win Brazil Série B? Yes 5¢ 26¢ $2 $9 +$7 (+471%)
Will CRB win Brazil Série B? Yes 5¢ 25¢ $2 $8 +$7 (+440%)
Will Cuiabá win Brazil Série B? Yes 5¢ 24¢ $2 $8 +$7 (+435%)
Will América Mineiro win Brazil Série B? Yes 5¢ 21¢ $2 $7 +$6 (+357%)
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026? Yes 17¢ 99¢ $1 $5 +$5 (+492%)
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $186 $5 −$181 (-98%)
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $186 $5 −$181 (-98%)
Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $186 $5 −$181 (-98%)
Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $186 $5 −$181 (-98%)
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $186 $5 −$181 (-98%)
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $186 $5 −$181 (-98%)
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $186 $5 −$181 (-98%)
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $186 $5 −$181 (-98%)
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $186 $5 −$181 (-98%)
Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $186 $5 −$181 (-98%)
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $186 $5 −$181 (-98%)
Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $186 $5 −$181 (-98%)
Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $186 $5 −$181 (-98%)
Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $186 $5 −$181 (-98%)
Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $186 $5 −$181 (-98%)
Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $186 $5 −$181 (-98%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 9? Jun 12 $0 +$4 +4493%
Will Drake have exactly 9 songs in the Billboard top 10? Jun 12 $0 +$1 +1000%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on May 30? Jun 12 $0 +$1 +1092%
Will Kagiso Rabada win the 2026 IPL purple cap? Jun 12 $0 +$1 +4002%
Will Vaibhav Sooryavanshi win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap? Jun 12 $0 +$1 +3210%
Will the Democratic Party win 12 upper-level local government races? Jun 12 $0 $0 +600%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 5? Jun 12 $0 $0 +1001%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 5? Jun 12 $0 $0 +1000%
Will "Billie Jean - Michael Jackson" be the #1 song on Spotify this we Jun 12 $0 $0 +2101%
Will "Nemesis" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? Jun 12 $0 $0 +2106%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on May 24? Jun 12 $0 $0 +1236%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 2? Jun 12 $0 +$1 +2074%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 24? Jun 12 $0 $0 +1001%
Will voter turnout be between 85% and 90% in the 2026 Maltese general Jun 12 $0 $0 +305%
Will Kristian Gkolomeev win the 50m freestyle at the 2026 Enhanced Gam Jun 12 $0 $0 +902%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on May Jun 12 $0 $0 +1002%
Will Barcelona win the 2025-26 UEFA Women's Champions League? Jun 12 $0 $0 +400%
Will "Office Romance" be the top global Netflix movie this week? Jun 12 $0 $0 +2103%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 29? Jun 12 $0 +$2 +5362%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 24? Jun 12 $0 $0 +1001%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 10? Jun 12 $0 +$2 +6666%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 3? Jun 12 $0 $0 +1003%
Will May 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record? Jun 12 $0 $0 +300%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 26? Jun 12 $0 $0 +1002%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on May 30? Jun 12 $0 $0 +1001%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 1? Jun 12 $0 +$4 +14181%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 25? Jun 12 $0 +$136 +528630%
Will Navi win IEM Atlanta 2026? Jun 12 $0 +$2 +9602%
Will DICK's Sporting Goods Q1 Dick's business comparable sales growth Jun 12 $0 $0 +400%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 26? Jun 12 $0 $0 +1000%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 23? Jun 12 $0 $0 +1002%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 1? Jun 12 $0 +$29 +145324%
Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03? Jun 12 $0 +$2 +22644%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 7? Jun 12 $0 $0 +1004%
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 2 Jun 12 $0 $0 +1001%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 7? Jun 12 $0 $0 +1004%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 7? Jun 12 $0 $0 +1000%
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $712 −$712 -100%
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $1,153 −$1,153 -100%
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election Jun 12 $1,385 −$1,384 -100%
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election Jun 12 $617 −$617 -100%
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be at le Jun 12 $288 −$288 -100%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 Jun 12 $88 −$88 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 12? Jun 12 $81 −$81 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 12? Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? Jun 12 $155 −$155 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on June 12? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -99%
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election Jun 12 $120 −$119 -99%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo's national team advance the furthest at the 202 Jun 12 $19 −$18 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 30% −$4,637
other 28% −$8,013
politics 13% −$5,822
tech 9% −$124
sports 7% −$253
finance 5% −$2,152
world 5% −$640
culture 2% −$18
crypto 1% $0
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary elect SELL Yes 0¢ $0 0m
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY No 98¢ $29 0m
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be less BUY No 98¢ $29 0m
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $45 0m
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $30 0m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on Ju BUY No 100¢ $30 1m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on Ju BUY No 72¢ $4 1m
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY No 98¢ $74 1m
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on BUY No 88¢ $27 3m
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY No 97¢ $29 4m
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on BUY No 97¢ $7 4m
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on BUY No 97¢ $8 4m
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on BUY No 79¢ $24 4m
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $30 4m
Will Japan be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $30 5m
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY No 95¢ $71 5m
Will USA be the worst-placed host nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 76¢ $11 5m
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on Ju BUY No 79¢ $18 8m
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on Ju BUY No 90¢ $11 8m
Will Meituan have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY No 100¢ $30 8m
Will xAI have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY No 99¢ $30 8m
Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY No 99¢ $30 8m
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY No 91¢ $27 8m
Will ByteDance have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY No 100¢ $30 8m
Will Alibaba have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY No 100¢ $30 8m
Will Amazon have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY No 100¢ $30 8m
Will Z.ai have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY No 99¢ $30 8m
Will Meta have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY No 100¢ $30 8m
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY No 35¢ $11 9m
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27? BUY No 93¢ $7 10m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)+314.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 116 +358.1% +314.5% 33% 33% -99.7%
≤30d 116 +358.1% +314.5% 33% 33% -99.7%
≤90d 116 +358.1% +314.5% 33% 33% -99.7%
all 116 +358.1% +314.5% 33% 33% -99.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2017.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +314.5% 33% -99.7%
10% ← realistic here +274.8% 33% -99.7%
15% +238.6% 33% -99.8%
20% +205.4% 33% -99.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $335.12 · official $321.03 · 3500 history records