Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:16:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FD
0xfd3e…6d34
crypto · 28 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$140 -52%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$140 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9
Realized−$140
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)21%
Wins / losses6 / 22
Open positions0
Markets (closed)28 / 28
History coverage1d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day59.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 28 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$140
7 days−$140
14 days−$140
30 days−$140
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 58¢ 100¢ $5 $9 +$4 (+72%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$6 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$14 +126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$10 +151%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$7 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$8 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -91%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$140
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $7 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $4 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $4 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-52.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 -47.0% -52.1% 21% 21% -58.6%
≤30d 28 -47.0% -52.1% 21% 21% -58.6%
≤90d 28 -47.0% -52.1% 21% 21% -58.6%
all 28 -47.0% -52.1% 21% 21% -58.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover59.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -52.1% 21% -58.6%
10% ← realistic here -56.7% 18% -62.6%
15% -60.8% 18% -66.2%
20% -64.7% 14% -69.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.62 · official $8.62 (match) · 73 history records