Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:22:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FD
0xfd3e…5a7a
sports · 951 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,080 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,101 · open +$19
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$366
Realized−$1,101
Unrealized+$19
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses499 / 690
Est. fees paid−$373
Open positions14
Markets (closed)1189 / 951
History coverage16d
Avg bet$35
Trades / day180.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 14 History 1189 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,391
7 days−$2,529
14 days−$1,439
30 days−$1,101
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Over 52¢ 50¢ $131 $127 −$4 (-3%)
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs UCAM Esports Club 36¢ 100¢ $27 $76 +$49 (+181%)
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona Barcelona 66¢ 100¢ $41 $63 +$21 (+51%)
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. KT Wiz Lotte Giants 50¢ 52¢ $32 $34 +$1 (+4%)
ITF Decatur: Lea Ma vs Zuzanna Pawlikowska Lea Ma 85¢ 94¢ $20 $22 +$2 (+11%)
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage KOLESIE 86¢ 100¢ $18 $21 +$3 (+16%)
Will CD Palestino win on 2026-06-13? Yes 35¢ 64¢ $4 $7 +$3 (+81%)
Overwatch: Twisted Minds vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - OCS EMEA Stage 2 Group Stage Virtus.pro 71¢ 100¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+41%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 83¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+20%)
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. SSG Landers SSG Landers 43¢ 50¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+18%)
Olimpia Milano vs. Reyer Venezia Olimpia Milano 90¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+11%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs LOS 33¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+203%)
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs EDward Gaming 32¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+212%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs G2 Esports 27¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs Vivo Keyd Stars 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier Toronto KOI 41¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-99%)
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Karmine Corp Blue 48¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
ITF Klagenfurt: Pedro Sakamoto vs Dominik Recek Pedro Sakamoto 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-05-24? Yes 35¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
ITF Kayseri: Ksenia Smirnova vs Mariia Bergen Mariia Bergen 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
ITF Cuiaba: Catarina Melleiro vs Marian Gomez Pezuela Cano Marian Gomez Pezuela Cano 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Russia vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 3.5 Over 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
ITF Sumter: Martina Okalova vs Sahaja Yamalapalli Sahaja Yamalapalli 80¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-05-10? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-99%)
ITF Wuning: Priska Madelyn Nugroho vs Yujia Huang Priska Madelyn Nugroho 61¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF Klagenfurt: Pedro Sakamoto vs Dominik Recek Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-05-24? Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-05-10? Jun 13 $0 −$1 -14897%
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Samsung Lions Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Banga Jun 13 $5 −$7 -134%
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: 1H Moneyline Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royals Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Valorant: SaD Esports vs YFP Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Vicenza: Mika Brunold vs Massimo Giunta Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs GenOne (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame Jun 13 $44 −$45 -102%
Little Rock: Dane Sweeny vs Enzo Aguiard Jun 13 $0 $0 -500%
ITF Kayseri: Doga Turkmen vs Selina Atay Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
ITF Hurghada: Yassin Ahmed Wageh vs Markus Molder Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Hamburg European Open: Ugo Humbert vs Karen Khachanov Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
T20 Blast: Warwickshire vs Somerset Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-19? Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty L Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Cusco FC vs. Independiente Medellín end in a draw? Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-09? Jun 13 $0 −$1 -377%
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Cervia: Andrea Guerrieri vs Max Alcala Gurri Jun 13 $1 −$2 -133%
Will FC Midtjylland vs. Brøndby IF end in a draw? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Athletics vs. San Diego Padres Jun 13 $2 −$2 -120%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage Jun 13 $3 −$3 -104%
Cervia: Stefan Dostanic vs Francesco Forti Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Toronto KOI (BO5) - Call of Duty League M Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
ITF Bol: Enola Chiesa vs Vaishnavi Adkar Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will SC Braga win on 2026-05-16? Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Akasha Urhobo vs Katie Boulter Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
ITF Pelham: Maria Florencia Urrutia vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
ITF Mataro: Mae Malige vs Luis Garcia Paez Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Valorant: REBORN vs Joblife (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Playoffs Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Grou Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Istanbul: Hynek Barton vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 13 $5 −$6 -118%
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-05-08? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: Galions vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LFL Regular Season Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Valorant: Team Envy vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qu Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Girona FC vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $41 −$41 -100%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Minnesota United FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $0 $0 -133%
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-05-10? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 90% +$1,213
other 9% −$166
world 1% +$191
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ITF Decatur: Lea Ma vs Zuzanna Pawlikowska BUY Lea Ma 88¢ $14 21m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs SELL G2 Esports 16¢ $3 42m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 23¢ $4 42m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs SELL G2 Esports 23¢ $1 42m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 27¢ $2 42m
ITF Decatur: Lea Ma vs Zuzanna Pawlikowska BUY Lea Ma 79¢ $6 44m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 25¢ $2 46m
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona SELL Barcelona 89¢ $14 49m
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona BUY Barcelona 92¢ $15 49m
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona SELL Barcelona 76¢ $12 50m
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona BUY Barcelona 77¢ $13 50m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs SELL G2 Esports 25¢ $3 52m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 30¢ $3 52m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs SELL G2 Esports 29¢ $32 52m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 31¢ $36 52m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 47¢ $3 52m
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty League BUY Toronto KOI 41¢ $0 53m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs SELL G2 Esports 46¢ $7 53m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 37¢ $6 53m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs SELL G2 Esports 44¢ $21 53m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 28¢ $14 54m
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona BUY Barcelona 49¢ $5 58m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs SELL G2 Esports 43¢ $10 59m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 46¢ $11 59m
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY KOLESIE 86¢ $13 1h
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY KOLESIE 87¢ $4 1h
Will CD Palestino win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 35¢ $4 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 52¢ $133 1h
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona BUY Barcelona 53¢ $2 1h
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona BUY Barcelona 58¢ $16 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-26.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 679 -39.1% -44.9% 31% 27% -23.3%
≤30d 1189 -18.8% -26.5% 42% 35% -12.2%
≤90d 1189 -18.8% -26.5% 42% 35% -12.2%
all 1189 -18.8% -26.5% 42% 35% -12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover180.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.5% 35% -12.2%
10% ← realistic here -33.6% 27% -20.6%
15% -40.0% 22% -28.2%
20% -45.9% 16% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $366.09 · official $364.34 (match) · 3500 history records