trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals? | Jun 09 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| UFC Fight Night: Matt Schnell vs. Alessandro Costa (Catchweight, Preli | Jun 07 | $1 | $0 | +20% |
| UFC Fight Night: Ariane Carnelossi vs. Ketlen Souza (Women's Strawweig | Jun 07 | $1 | $0 | +31% |
| UFC Fight Night: Joanderson Brito vs. Jordan Leavitt (Featherweight, P | Jun 07 | $1 | +$1 | +56% |
| UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims) | Jun 07 | $1 | +$1 | +107% |
| UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Mai | Jun 05 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 05 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $750B by June 30? | Jun 05 | $1 | $0 | -3% |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? | Jun 04 | $2 | $0 | -3% |
| Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? | Jun 04 | $4 | $0 | -2% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Jun 04 | $18 | $0 | -0% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +43.4% | +29.7% | 100% | 80% | +29.9% |
| ≤30d | 11 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 45% | 36% | -12.4% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 45% | 36% | -12.4% |
| all | 11 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 45% | 36% | -12.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.8% | 36% | -12.4% |
| 10% | -17.5% | 27% | -20.8% |
| 15% | -25.5% | 18% | -28.4% |
| 20% | -32.8% | 18% | -35.4% |