Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:05:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FD
0xfd27…50af
crypto · 1180 markets active 14h ago
0.0score
−$157 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$157 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$44
Realized−$157
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses1087 / 117
Est. fees paid−$12
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1204 / 1180
History coverage4d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day590.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1204 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$258
7 days−$157
14 days−$157
30 days−$157
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $17 $17 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$11 -163%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $17 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $17 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $24 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $17 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$122
sports 5% +$151
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $8 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 13h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $9 13h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $8 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 13h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $8 13h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $9 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $6 13h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $7 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $6 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $8 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $6 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $6 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $6 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $6 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-12.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1204 -2.8% -12.1% 90% 1% -10.4%
≤30d 1204 -2.8% -12.1% 90% 1% -10.4%
≤90d 1204 -2.8% -12.1% 90% 1% -10.4%
all 1204 -2.8% -12.1% 90% 1% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover590.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.1% 1% -10.4%
10% ← realistic here -20.5% 0% -19.0%
15% -28.2% 0% -26.8%
20% -35.2% 0% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $44.00 · official $44.00 (match) · 3500 history records