Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T11:38:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
FD 0xfd0f…ec35 crypto 68 markets active 6d ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (194 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$17 (-5%) realized −$17 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR24%break-even
Win rate24%16W / 52L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day194.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$61
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (194 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-14.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 68 -5.8% -14.8% 24% 24% -28.6%
≤30d 68 -5.8% -14.8% 24% 24% -28.6%
≤90d 68 -5.8% -14.8% 24% 24% -28.6%
all 68 -5.8% -14.8% 24% 24% -28.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover194.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.8% 24% -28.6%
10% ← realistic here -23.0% 24% -35.4%
15% -30.4% 24% -41.7%
20% -37.2% 24% -47.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 17% · top 2 31% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -22% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -22% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +34% → late -46% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.5 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$9 vs −$4 · ×2.24 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.69 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$17
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)24%
Wins / losses16 / 52
Open positions0
Markets (closed)68 / 68
History coverage1d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day194.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 68 Trades
no open positions (46 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $13 −$13 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 11 $13 −$12 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $20 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $27 −$7 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$4 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $13 +$12 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$3 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $9 −$9 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$14 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $12 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$4 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$3 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$3 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $12 +$23 +200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +115%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$4 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +145%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $13 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $6 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $22 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET SELL Down 71¢ $43 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 213 history records