Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:13:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FD
0xfd0b…e79c
crypto · 1056 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$309 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$309 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$309
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses625 / 435
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1060 / 1056
History coverage44d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day64.5
Drawdown52%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1060 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$80
7 days+$86
14 days+$85
30 days+$162
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$2 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$4 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $41 +$16 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$3 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$6 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$21 +165%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$6 +47%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$8 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$3 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$19 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$5 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$7 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$9 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $14 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$15 +1775%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$322
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET SELL Down 18¢ $8 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $7 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 53m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $44 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET SELL Down 64¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-11.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 84 +7.4% -2.8% 56% 43% +1.1%
≤30d 493 -3.9% -13.1% 61% 37% -6.3%
≤90d 1060 -2.2% -11.5% 59% 37% -6.2%
all 1060 -2.2% -11.5% 59% 37% -6.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover64.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.5% 37% -6.2%
10% ← realistic here -20.0% 30% -15.2%
15% -27.7% 23% -23.4%
20% -34.8% 18% -30.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records