Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:55:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FD
0xfd07…cb4e
sports · 764 markets active 2h ago
2.5score
+$62 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$50 · open +$11
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$575
Realized+$50
Unrealized+$11
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses386 / 374
Whale WR (big bets)87%
Est. fees paid−$427
Open positions4
Markets (closed)760 / 764
History coverage214d
Avg bet$83
Trades / day7.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 4 History 760 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$403
7 days+$340
14 days+$506
30 days+$1,575
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 78¢ 90¢ $312 $358 +$46 (+15%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 61¢ 60¢ $183 $182 −$2 (-1%)
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs EDward Gaming 45¢ 34¢ $45 $34 −$11 (-23%)
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan Afghanistan 24¢ 2¢ $24 $2 −$22 (-94%)
Spread: Warriors (-8.5) Mavericks 53¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals Oh My God 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) Hanwha Life Esports 78¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner 9z 6¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5 Over 56¢ 0¢ $312 $0 −$312 (-100%)
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-21? No 44¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Hornets vs. Cavaliers Hornets 25¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Pistons vs. Hornets Hornets 43¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Clippers vs. Cavaliers Clippers 23¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Liquid - Map 2 Winner Liquid 5¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Rockets vs. Kings Rockets 72¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Hawks vs. Spurs Hawks 49¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs MIBR 31¢ 0¢ $372 $0 −$372 (-100%)
Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5) Timberwolves 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Suns vs. 76ers 76ers 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Jazz vs. Warriors Jazz 10¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Spread: Suns (-14.5) Wizards 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Como 1907 vs. AC Milan end in a draw? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $26 −$25 -98%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 13 $184 −$184 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $529 +$171 +32%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Jun 12 $133 +$167 +125%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $309 −$305 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $35 −$35 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $111 −$63 -56%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $55 −$54 -99%
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) Jun 12 $68 −$68 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $333 −$23 -7%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $14 −$14 -98%
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo Jun 11 $25 +$16 +63%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $24 +$15 +62%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $414 +$108 +26%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 09 $12 −$12 -99%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 09 $508 +$107 +21%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $553 +$167 +30%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $13 −$3 -23%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $328 +$271 +83%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $49 +$51 +105%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5 Jun 09 $51 +$49 +97%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $390 +$9 +2%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $77 −$75 -98%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $62 −$60 -97%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $7 −$7 -97%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5) Jun 08 $510 +$290 +57%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $494 −$5 -1%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $28 −$28 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $35 −$34 -98%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $10 −$10 -99%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $121 −$119 -98%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 07 $339 +$161 +47%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $149 +$34 +23%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $20 −$1 -5%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $82 −$80 -98%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $16 −$15 -97%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $2 −$2 -97%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $134 +$56 +42%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 07 $147 −$73 -50%
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group S Jun 07 $115 −$114 -99%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $212 −$72 -34%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $30 +$30 +101%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 06 $62 +$38 +62%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+1.5) Jun 06 $119 +$91 +76%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $10 −$10 -100%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 06 $13 −$13 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 06 $83 +$37 +44%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $17 −$17 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 88% +$345
other 9% −$244
politics 1% −$92
crypto 1% −$11
tech 0% +$83
weather 0% −$50
world 0% −$31
economics 0% +$103
culture 0% −$40
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 78¢ $314 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 61¢ $185 1h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 45¢ $46 1h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY Afghanistan 24¢ $25 2h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 13¢ $10 3h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 15¢ $15 4h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 4¢ $4 4h
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) BUY FUT Esports 46¢ $180 6h
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) BUY FUT Esports 46¢ $4 6h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 61¢ $309 23h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 4¢ $8 23h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 5¢ $10 23h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 10¢ $10 24h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 10¢ $8 24h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 10¢ $0 24h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 10¢ $1 24h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 10¢ $0 24h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 15¢ $2 24h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 15¢ $1 24h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 15¢ $0 24h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 15¢ $3 24h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 15¢ $1 24h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 15¢ $1 24h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 15¢ $7 24h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 11¢ $23 24h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Legacy 3¢ $3 24h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 47¢ $46 25h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY Natus Vincere 45¢ $91 25h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 69¢ $487 25h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY Natus Vincere 41¢ $42 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-17.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 50 -32.4% -38.8% 38% 36% -4.7%
≤30d 171 -6.6% -15.5% 49% 47% -4.9%
≤90d 177 -7.4% -16.2% 49% 47% -5.1%
all 760 -9.3% -17.9% 51% 46% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.9% 46% -9.2%
10% -25.8% 41% -17.9%
15% -32.9% 37% -25.8%
20% -39.5% 29% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $575.49 · official $575.50 (match) · 1970 history records