trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 7% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 25 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 4% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Jun 26 | $78 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $78 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 06 | $78 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee | May 29 | $78 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 27 | $158 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 26 | $77 | $0 | +0% |
| Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 19 | $78 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 15 | $78 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026? | May 13 | $156 | $0 | -0% |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 06 | $78 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 19 | $79 | $0 | +0% |
| Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | Apr 13 | $79 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 10 | $79 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 07 | $79 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Apr 05 | $79 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 26 | $80 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 18 | $80 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 17 | $80 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 14 | $80 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 09 | $80 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 06 | $80 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin | Mar 04 | $80 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Feb 26 | $80 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Feb 24 | $80 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in February? | Feb 22 | $80 | $0 | +0% |