Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:44:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FC
0xfcf7…1072
crypto · 1372 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$44 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$44 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$44
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses1123 / 249
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1372 / 1372
History coverage7d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day300.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1372 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$24
7 days−$42
14 days−$44
30 days−$44
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$44
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $7 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 77¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 77¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $3 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1267 -0.3% -9.8% 82% 36% -10.7%
≤30d 1372 -0.3% -9.8% 82% 35% -10.7%
≤90d 1372 -0.3% -9.8% 82% 35% -10.7%
all 1372 -0.3% -9.8% 82% 35% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover300.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.8% 35% -10.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 7% -19.2%
15% -26.3% 2% -27.0%
20% -33.5% 1% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records