Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:25:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FC
0xfce6…4408
other · 1264 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$373 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$370 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$47
Realized−$370
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses1218 / 44
Est. fees paid−$10
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1262 / 1264
History coverage40d
Avg bet$35
Trades / day56.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit12%
Chart Positions 1 History 1262 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$30
7 days+$83
14 days−$68
30 days−$293
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 99¢ 92¢ $50 $47 −$3 (-7%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $50 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $40 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $40 +$1 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $70 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $40 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $59 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $70 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $40 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $70 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$3 +12%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $70 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $40 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $27 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 91% −$204
crypto 6% −$34
sports 3% −$135
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 0m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 0m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 10m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 16m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 26m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 30m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 30m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 51m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $20 55m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 9h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 9h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 9h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 9h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 9h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 9h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 9h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $20 9h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 9h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 9h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 9h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 9h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 336 +1.1% -8.5% 99% 1% -8.8%
≤30d 969 -0.9% -10.3% 97% 2% -10.3%
≤90d 1262 -0.7% -10.2% 97% 2% -10.3%
all 1262 -0.7% -10.2% 97% 2% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover56.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.2% 2% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -18.8% 2% -18.9%
15% -26.6% 1% -26.7%
20% -33.8% 1% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $46.72 · official $39.65 · 3500 history records