Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:56:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FC
0xfcdc…d8e3
crypto · 123 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5,222 -35%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,366 · open −$54
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$635
Realized−$5,366
Unrealized−$54
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses145 / 444
Open positions10
Markets (closed)589 / 123
History coverage1d
Avg bet$123
Trades / day3369.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 10 History 589 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5,366
7 days−$5,366
14 days−$5,366
30 days−$5,366
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 36¢ 55¢ $70 $108 +$38 (+53%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 60¢ 45¢ $141 $106 −$35 (-25%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Down 91¢ 72¢ $118 $93 −$25 (-21%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 41¢ 69¢ $38 $65 +$27 (+71%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 38¢ 55¢ $42 $61 +$19 (+45%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Down 93¢ 68¢ $69 $50 −$19 (-27%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 30¢ 30¢ $33 $34 +$1 (+3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Up 7¢ 28¢ $5 $23 +$17 (+316%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 39¢ 66¢ $10 $17 +$7 (+67%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Up 9¢ 32¢ $4 $15 +$11 (+261%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 30¢ 32¢ $9 $10 +$1 (+9%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 61¢ 64¢ $8 $9 +$0 (+6%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 30¢ 36¢ $7 $8 +$1 (+16%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 28¢ 34¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+23%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 34¢ 52¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+54%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 59¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+69%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Down 72¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+38%)
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 80¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+25%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 58¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+72%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Up 85¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+18%)
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 47¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+113%)
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 66¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+51%)
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 54¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+85%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Up 33¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+206%)
XRP Up or Down - April 7, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 56¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+77%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$59 -8778%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +72%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +113%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +52%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $70 −$126 -179%
XRP Up or Down - April 7, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +77%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$11 -2625%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +104%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +45%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +43%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +56%
XRP Up or Down - April 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +39%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +223%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +138%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +117%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +33%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +79%
XRP Up or Down - April 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$11 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +85%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +117%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +133%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +30%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +127%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$39 -19424%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +89%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +108%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +64%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +61%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $247 −$247 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$76 +356%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $170 −$170 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$831
other 0% −$73
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $6 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $4 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $4 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $4 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $3 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $3 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $7 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $7 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $7 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $7 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 0m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-17.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 589 -8.2% -17.0% 25% 21% -31.6%
≤30d 589 -8.2% -17.0% 25% 21% -31.6%
≤90d 589 -8.2% -17.0% 25% 21% -31.6%
all 589 -8.2% -17.0% 25% 21% -31.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3369.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.0% 21% -31.6%
10% ← realistic here -24.9% 17% -38.2%
15% -32.2% 15% -44.1%
20% -38.8% 13% -49.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $635.43 · official $597.14 · 3500 history records