Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:03:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FC
0xfcd3…5f54
crypto · 130 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$547 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$547 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$547
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses68 / 62
Open positions0
Markets (closed)130 / 130
History coverage9d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day129.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 130 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$235
7 days−$235
14 days−$547
30 days−$547
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $44 −$8 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $105 −$70 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $37 −$27 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$9 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $34 −$4 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $104 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$12 +139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $34 −$12 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $28 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $24 +$10 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$2 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $66 −$20 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $85 −$85 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$9 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $18 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $76 +$24 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $67 +$23 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $32 +$13 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$6 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $185 −$85 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$7 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$547
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Down 24¢ $6 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $13 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $11 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $23 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $9 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $10 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $9 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $30 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $13 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $20 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $13 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $13 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $10 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $9 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $25 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $49 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $49 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 55m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-22.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 76 -8.1% -16.9% 58% 45% -19.2%
≤30d 130 -14.1% -22.2% 52% 38% -23.3%
≤90d 130 -14.1% -22.2% 52% 38% -23.3%
all 130 -14.1% -22.2% 52% 38% -23.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover129.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.2% 38% -23.3%
10% ← realistic here -29.7% 28% -30.6%
15% -36.5% 20% -37.3%
20% -42.7% 12% -43.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1249 history records