Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:01:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FC
0xfcc4…700c
crypto · 883 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,712 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,712 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,712
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses361 / 669
Whale WR (big bets)71%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1030 / 883
History coverage2d
Avg bet$36
Trades / day1690.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1030 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,712
7 days−$3,712
14 days−$3,712
30 days−$3,712
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -118%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$3 -256%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$20 -104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$3 -289%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$35 -175%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$2 -2835%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$914
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $103 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $102 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $102 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $103 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $103 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $103 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $103 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $103 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $104 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $104 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $104 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $104 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $104 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $104 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $104 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $104 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $103 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $54 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $104 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $104 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $104 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $104 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $103 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $102 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $102 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $102 26m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-31.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1030 -24.8% -31.9% 35% 33% -18.2%
≤30d 1030 -24.8% -31.9% 35% 33% -18.2%
≤90d 1030 -24.8% -31.9% 35% 33% -18.2%
all 1030 -24.8% -31.9% 35% 33% -18.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1690.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -31.9% 33% -18.2%
10% ← realistic here -38.4% 31% -26.0%
15% -44.4% 28% -33.1%
20% -49.8% 25% -39.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records