trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 08 | $22 | +$4 | +17% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 14 | $40 | +$4 | +9% |
| Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 26 | $16 | +$3 | +20% |
| Rockets vs. Bulls | Mar 23 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Kings vs. Islanders | Mar 23 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Dayton Flyers vs. UNCW Seahawks | Mar 23 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Blues vs. Jets | Mar 23 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Ohio State Buckeyes | Mar 23 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Magic vs. Heat | Mar 23 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Hurricanes vs. Penguins | Mar 23 | $2 | +$1 | +72% |
| Raptors vs. Suns | Mar 23 | $2 | +$2 | +127% |
| Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 146.5 | Mar 23 | $101 | +$100 | +99% |
| Bruins vs. Devils | Mar 17 | $1 | +$1 | +89% |
| Jazz vs. Kings | Mar 16 | $1 | +$1 | +85% |
| Hornets vs. Spurs | Mar 15 | $2 | +$1 | +45% |
| George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Saint Louis Billikens | Mar 14 | $2 | +$1 | +42% |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | Mar 13 | $2 | +$3 | +204% |
| Cavaliers vs. Magic | Mar 12 | $1 | +$1 | +144% |
| Suns vs. Bucks | Mar 11 | $2 | +$1 | +93% |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$72.5 in January? | Feb 28 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +16.7% | +5.6% | 100% | 100% | +5.6% |
| ≤30d | 1 | +16.7% | +5.6% | 100% | 100% | +5.6% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -2.5% | -11.8% | 60% | 53% | +40.2% |
| all | 20 | +22.3% | +10.7% | 70% | 60% | +41.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +10.7% | 60% | +41.4% |
| 10% | +0.1% | 50% | +27.9% |
| 15% | -9.6% | 50% | +15.5% |
| 20% | -18.4% | 40% | +4.2% |