trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 54¢ | 54¢ | $4 | $4 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Yes | 28¢ | 28¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 20¢ | 20¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | Mar 26 | $2 | −$1 | -43% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET | Mar 26 | $2 | −$1 | -24% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET | Mar 26 | $2 | $0 | +10% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | Mar 26 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | Mar 25 | $1 | $0 | +36% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | Mar 25 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | Mar 25 | $3 | −$1 | -24% |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET | Mar 25 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | Mar 25 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 9 | -49.5% | -54.3% | 22% | 11% | -48.3% |
| all | 9 | -49.5% | -54.3% | 22% | 11% | -48.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -54.3% | 11% | -48.3% |
| 10% | -58.7% | 11% | -53.2% |
| 15% | -62.7% | 11% | -57.8% |
| 20% | -66.3% | 0% | -61.9% |