trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +92.3% | +74.0% | 100% | 100% | +74.0% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -35.9% | -42.0% | 33% | 33% | -43.9% |
| ≤90d | 3 | -35.9% | -42.0% | 33% | 33% | -43.9% |
| all | 3 | -35.9% | -42.0% | 33% | 33% | -43.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -42.0% | 33% | -43.9% |
| 10% | -47.6% | 33% | -49.3% |
| 15% | -52.6% | 33% | -54.2% |
| 20% | -57.3% | 33% | -58.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 10¢ | 10¢ | $2,853 | $2,586 | −$267 (-9%) |
| Trump out as President by June 30? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $157 | $37 | −$121 (-77%) |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | Yes | 52¢ | 52¢ | $34 | $34 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 7¢ | 8¢ | $23 | $24 | +$2 (+8%) |
| Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit? | No | 11¢ | 4¢ | $60 | $20 | −$40 (-66%) |
| Will JD Vance attend NATO Summit? | Yes | 9¢ | 8¢ | $20 | $18 | −$2 (-8%) |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 3¢ | $15 | $13 | −$2 (-12%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 11¢ | $15 | $13 | −$2 (-16%) |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $18 | +$17 | +92% |
| Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | Jun 08 | $8 | −$8 | -99% |
| Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals? | Jun 08 | $31 | −$30 | -97% |