| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? |
Jun 20 |
$34 |
$0 |
-1% |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 |
Jun 20 |
$2 |
+$1 |
+38% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? |
Jun 18 |
$13 |
+$1 |
+6% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
Jun 18 |
$2 |
$0 |
+0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
Jun 18 |
$71 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? |
Jun 18 |
$21 |
$0 |
+0% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? |
Jun 17 |
$7 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? |
Jun 04 |
$89 |
−$2 |
-3% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? |
Jun 03 |
$32 |
−$1 |
-3% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
Jun 03 |
$46 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? |
Jun 01 |
$33 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? |
May 31 |
$2 |
$0 |
+2% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab |
May 30 |
$40 |
$0 |
+0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? |
May 29 |
$10 |
−$3 |
-30% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? |
May 29 |
$40 |
$0 |
-0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? |
May 28 |
$43 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
May 28 |
$17 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025? |
Dec 18 |
$7 |
−$3 |
-50% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? |
Dec 15 |
$2 |
$0 |
+4% |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? |
Jun 28 |
$5 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2025 French Open? |
Jun 04 |
$14 |
$0 |
-1% |
| Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025? |
Jun 04 |
$9 |
$0 |
+2% |
| Will Oracle buy TikTok? |
Jun 04 |
$11 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland? |
Jun 03 |
$6 |
+$9 |
+170% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2500 on May 30? |
May 31 |
$1 |
−$1 |
-100% |
| Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 French Open? |
May 31 |
$6 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Will Larry Ellison buy TikTok before July? |
May 30 |
$5 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 Stanley Cup? |
May 30 |
$12 |
$0 |
+3% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? |
May 28 |
$12 |
$0 |
-1% |
| Will Trump publicly disparage Netanyahu before June? |
May 27 |
$12 |
$0 |
-1% |
| Will Trump deport less than 250,000? |
May 26 |
$12 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Will India invade Pakistan before July? |
May 25 |
$13 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference? |
May 25 |
$2 |
+$2 |
+98% |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July? |
May 24 |
$12 |
$0 |
+3% |
| Will Elon tweet 250–274 times May 16–23? |
May 21 |
$13 |
$0 |
-1% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in May? |
May 20 |
$1 |
$0 |
-14% |
| Will Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people? |
May 19 |
$14 |
$0 |
-1% |
| Will George Simion win by over 18%? |
May 18 |
$15 |
$0 |
-1% |
| Will federal spending decrease by $500-750b between Q4 2024 and Q2 202 |
May 18 |
$15 |
$0 |
+1% |
| Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese leg |
May 16 |
$15 |
$0 |
-1% |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series? |
May 14 |
$15 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31? |
May 13 |
$14 |
$0 |
+1% |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals? |
May 12 |
$28 |
−$14 |
-51% |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair? |
May 10 |
$27 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Will the Washington Nationals win the 2025 National League Championshi |
May 09 |
$28 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will 'Jurassic World: Rebirth' have the best domestic opening weekend |
May 09 |
$27 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Sam Altman buy TikTok? |
May 08 |
$28 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025? |
May 08 |
$28 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Will Sali Berisha be the next Prime Minister of Albania after the 2025 |
May 08 |
$27 |
$0 |
-0% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting? |
May 07 |
$27 |
$0 |
-0% |