Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T05:39:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
FC 0xfc72…5ae7 crypto 73 markets active 7d ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (471 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ profit from just two bets (not replicable)✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL −$12 (-1%) realized −$12 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -60% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -69% what you keep after slip
Net edge-69%after slip
Net WR19%break-even
Win rate19%14W / 59L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$12per market
Trades / day471.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$375now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$323
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (471 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-64.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 62 -76.2% -78.5% 13% 13% -85.3%
≤30d 73 -60.3% -64.1% 19% 19% -60.2%
≤90d 73 -60.3% -64.1% 19% 19% -60.2%
all 73 -60.3% -64.1% 19% 19% -60.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover471.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -64.1% 19% -60.2%
10% ← realistic here -67.5% 18% -64.0%
15% -70.6% 15% -67.5%
20% -73.5% 14% -70.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 44% · top 2 71% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -56% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -60% · $-wt -56% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -40% → late -80% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
6.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$11 vs −$8 · ×1.33 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.31 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$375
Realized−$12
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)19%
Wins / losses14 / 59
Open positions0
Markets (closed)73 / 73
History coverage1d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day471.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 73 Trades
no open positions (59 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 10 $7 −$1 -16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 10 $7 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3AM ET Jun 10 $7 −$3 -47%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin above 61,800 on June 10, 4AM ET? Jun 10 $3 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 10 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$3 -58%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +77%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 10 $24 −$4 -18%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$1 -24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 10 $14 −$7 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 10 $70 −$30 -42%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$1 -24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 10 $11 −$10 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 10 $31 −$14 -45%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$4 -77%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 10 $12 −$7 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 10 $9 −$1 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$1 -19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$5 +123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$5 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 10 $17 −$2 -12%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$3 -32%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$2 -39%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 10 $9 −$5 -60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -48%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 10 $26 −$16 -61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 10 $12 −$6 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 10 $13 −$2 -17%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$2 -39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 10 $8 −$3 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$2 -63%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -48%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +97%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin above 61,800 on June 10, 4AM ET? BUY No 81¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin above 61,800 on June 10, 4AM ET? BUY No 80¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin above 61,800 on June 10, 4AM ET? BUY No 78¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $375.37 · official $375.37 (match) · 472 history records