trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -28.6% | -35.4% | 50% | 50% | +10.3% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -52.4% | -56.9% | 33% | 33% | -9.1% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -16.8% | -24.7% | 38% | 38% | -1.8% |
| all | 20 | -33.9% | -40.2% | 35% | 35% | -42.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -40.2% | 35% | -42.0% |
| 10% | -45.9% | 30% | -47.5% |
| 15% | -51.2% | 25% | -52.6% |
| 20% | -56.0% | 15% | -57.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29? | No | 73¢ | 94¢ | $36 | $47 | +$11 (+29%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs ShindeN (BO3) - Thunderpick World Champio | Jun 30 | $35 | +$15 | +43% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 27 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 22? | Jun 21 | $15 | −$10 | -66% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | May 22 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 13? | May 22 | $61 | +$38 | +62% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Apr 11 | $135 | $0 | -0% |
| Suns vs. Lakers | Apr 11 | $300 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Apr 11 | $31 | +$19 | +61% |
| Rockets vs. Pelicans | Apr 01 | $68 | +$32 | +47% |
| Kings vs. Hawks | Mar 28 | $99 | −$99 | -100% |
| Hawks vs. Celtics | Mar 28 | $65 | +$35 | +54% |
| Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers | Mar 27 | $32 | −$32 | -100% |
| Suns vs. Timberwolves | Mar 17 | $800 | $0 | -0% |
| Suns vs. Celtics | Mar 16 | $483 | −$483 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Knicks | Mar 16 | $258 | −$215 | -83% |
| Timberwolves vs. Thunder | Mar 16 | $539 | +$161 | +30% |
| Pacers vs. Bucks | Mar 15 | $702 | −$702 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Lakers | Mar 14 | $1,740 | −$1,740 | -100% |
| Bulls vs. Clippers | Mar 14 | $2,550 | +$450 | +18% |
| Hornets vs. Spurs | Mar 14 | $448 | −$448 | -100% |