trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 5 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 27 | +1.8% | -7.9% | 56% | 19% | -10.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.9% | 19% | -10.1% |
| 10% | -16.7% | 15% | -18.7% |
| 15% | -24.7% | 15% | -26.5% |
| 20% | -32.1% | 11% | -33.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $340 | $340 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $198 | $198 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Ed Davey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $57 | $57 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2026? | No | 76¢ | 18¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-76%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series? | May 01 | $220 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026? | May 01 | $105 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 01 | $100 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 26 | $230 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Mar 26 | $90 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 09 | $270 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 09 | $500 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Tucker Carlson interview Trump by February 28? | Mar 07 | $4 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings? | Feb 03 | $4 | −$3 | -68% |
| LoL: SK Gaming vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season | Feb 03 | $2 | +$1 | +72% |
| IDF Chief Eyal Zamir out by December 31, 2025? | Jan 26 | $6 | $0 | +5% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Taylor Swift Edition | Jan 26 | $6 | $0 | +4% |
| Lanka Premier League: Kandy Falcons vs Dambulla Sixers (Game 1) | Dec 23 | $2 | $0 | -23% |
| Will DraftKings acquire Railbird by October 31? | Oct 25 | $3 | +$1 | +48% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 69°F or below on July 30? | Aug 18 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025? | Aug 18 | $3 | +$1 | +18% |
| East African countries agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before July? | Jul 29 | $3 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Lazio win the Serie A? | May 14 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Maccabi TLV win the UEFA Europa League? | Feb 05 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Canada federal election in 2024? | Jan 06 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Minnesota Twins sale announced before July? | Dec 19 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will another team win the Bundesliga? | Dec 19 | $756 | −$2 | -0% |
| Moreno vs. Albazi | Nov 10 | $6 | +$4 | +59% |
| Sun vs. Fever Series Winner | Nov 02 | $1 | +$1 | +54% |
| Edmundo González arrested before October? | Nov 02 | $2 | $0 | +6% |
| Robin DiAngelo out as Washington professor by Sept 6? | Sep 21 | $2 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Aug 28 | $284 | −$13 | -4% |