Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:32:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FC
0xfc29…1c34
crypto · 176 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$1,513 +21%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,462 · open +$51
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$383
Realized+$1,462
Unrealized+$51
Win rate (resolved)12%
Wins / losses20 / 147
Open positions9
Markets (closed)167 / 176
Avg bet$40
Trades / day23.8
Drawdown59%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 9 History 167 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$221
7 days−$1,896
14 days+$2,375
30 days+$1,389
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $118 $164 +$47 (+39%)
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes 3¢ 5¢ $49 $84 +$35 (+72%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? No 2¢ 3¢ $41 $59 +$18 (+44%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 8-14? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $75 $27 −$48 (-64%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? No 1¢ 1¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+0%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $13 $12 −$0 (-4%)
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $15 $12 −$3 (-21%)
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes 0¢ 1¢ $5 $8 +$2 (+50%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 June 8-14? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 11-17? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 on June 7? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on May 28? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on June 2? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 25-31? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $87 $0 −$87 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2? No 1¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 61,200 on June 3, 10PM ET? No 1¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 19? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 26? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 22? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 7? No 0¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 on June 10? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 4-10? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 2? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $53,000 on June 6? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 4-10? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $0 $0 -94%
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -94%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $126 −$121 -96%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $73 −$21 -29%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $29 −$28 -97%
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $1 $0 -22%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $32 −$29 -92%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $15 −$15 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $11 −$10 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $126 −$120 -96%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $41 −$39 -95%
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $43 −$40 -94%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $63 −$60 -96%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $41 −$38 -94%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $3 −$3 -94%
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $9 −$9 -99%
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $39 −$39 -98%
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $11 −$11 -98%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $63 −$62 -98%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7? Jun 07 $1,161 −$20 -2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $42 −$42 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $47 −$46 -99%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $120 −$118 -98%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $33 −$31 -96%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $77 −$74 -95%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $18 −$17 -95%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $22 −$22 -99%
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $29 −$27 -94%
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $111 −$105 -94%
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $12 −$12 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $8 −$5 -70%
Will Bitcoin dip to $53,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $32 −$31 -98%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $69 −$67 -97%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 7? Jun 06 $28 −$27 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $55 −$52 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $26 −$24 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $92 −$90 -98%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $218 −$214 -98%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $140 −$19 -14%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $21 −$21 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $19 +$29 +151%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 6? Jun 05 $12 −$12 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $67 −$64 -96%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $96 −$91 -95%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $0 $0 +430%
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 4? Jun 05 $12 −$12 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$1,460
tech 2% +$53
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 45m
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 45m
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 46m
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 46m
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 47m
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 49m
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 50m
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 51m
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 54m
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 55m
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 59m
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 49 -78.9% -80.9% 4% 4% -91.6%
≤30d 134 +1.7% -8.0% 13% 12% -3.4%
≤90d 167 -2.1% -11.4% 12% 11% -5.5%
all 167 -2.1% -11.4% 12% 11% -5.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.4% 11% -5.5%
10% ← realistic here -19.9% 11% -14.6%
15% -27.6% 11% -22.8%
20% -34.7% 10% -30.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $382.64 · official $382.64 (match) · 1628 history records