trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 21 | -0.8% | -10.2% | 33% | 29% | +4.9% |
| ≤30d | 21 | -0.8% | -10.2% | 33% | 29% | +4.9% |
| ≤90d | 21 | -0.8% | -10.2% | 33% | 29% | +4.9% |
| all | 21 | -0.8% | -10.2% | 33% | 29% | +4.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.2% | 29% | +4.9% |
| 10% | -18.8% | 29% | -5.1% |
| 15% | -26.7% | 24% | -14.3% |
| 20% | -33.9% | 19% | -22.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 6¢ | 4¢ | $116 | $76 | −$41 (-35%) |
| Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 3¢ | $58 | $41 | −$17 (-30%) |
| Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | Yes | 5¢ | 4¢ | $31 | $29 | −$3 (-8%) |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar? | Yes | 14¢ | 12¢ | $32 | $27 | −$5 (-15%) |
| Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Yes | 6¢ | 2¢ | $30 | $11 | −$19 (-64%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $21 | +$61 | +294% |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $26 | +$6 | +24% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Jun 16 | $70 | +$6 | +9% |
| Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals | Jun 15 | $6 | −$6 | -98% |
| Spread: Spain (-3.5) | Jun 15 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Spread: Spain (-4.5) | Jun 15 | $36 | −$35 | -98% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? | Jun 15 | $20 | −$5 | -26% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15? | Jun 14 | $6 | −$5 | -81% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | -27% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 14 | $86 | +$131 | +153% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 14 | $154 | −$34 | -22% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $34 | −$34 | -98% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | Jun 13 | $20 | −$14 | -72% |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 13 | $180 | +$73 | +41% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | Jun 12 | $41 | −$3 | -8% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | Jun 12 | $31 | −$2 | -7% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Jun 12 | $74 | +$52 | +71% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Jun 11 | $5 | $0 | -5% |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? | Jun 11 | $20 | −$6 | -31% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | Jun 11 | $10 | +$8 | +78% |
| Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? | Jun 10 | $5 | $0 | -6% |