Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:56:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FC
0xfc10…a8d5
crypto · 394 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4,395 -25%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,395 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$444
Realized−$4,395
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)22%
Wins / losses188 / 677
Open positions0
Markets (closed)865 / 394
History coverage2d
Avg bet$45
Trades / day1510.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 865 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4,431
7 days−$4,395
14 days−$4,395
30 days−$4,395
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 49¢ 100¢ $73 $149 +$76 (+104%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 41¢ 100¢ $59 $144 +$85 (+143%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 44¢ 100¢ $29 $65 +$37 (+127%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 78¢ 100¢ $47 $60 +$13 (+29%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $10 $20 +$10 (+96%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 64¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+56%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Up 66¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+51%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 46¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+117%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 81¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+23%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 76¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+32%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6PM ET Down 81¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+23%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+96%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 56¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+79%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 61¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+64%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $116 $0 −$116 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $47 −$47 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $48 −$48 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +117%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$149 -41233%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $116 −$116 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $52 −$52 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$226
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $2 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $2 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $0 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $0 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $11 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $0 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $8 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $0 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $12 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $17 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $9 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $7 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $7 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $6 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $14 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $3 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $8 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $3 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $17 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $4 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $17 23m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-55.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 865 -50.3% -55.0% 22% 16% -26.7%
≤30d 865 -50.3% -55.0% 22% 16% -26.7%
≤90d 865 -50.3% -55.0% 22% 16% -26.7%
all 865 -50.3% -55.0% 22% 16% -26.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1510.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -55.0% 16% -26.7%
10% ← realistic here -59.3% 10% -33.7%
15% -63.2% 6% -40.1%
20% -66.8% 3% -46.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $444.13 · official $438.86 · 3500 history records