Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:23:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FC
0xfc08…374f
economics · 4 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$37 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$27 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP economics specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$27
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 3
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)3 / 4
History coverage16d
Avg bet$4,267
Trades / day11.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$25
7 days−$25
14 days−$25
30 days−$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner FUT Esports 38¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me Jun 12 $11,611 −$18 -0%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee Jun 11 $4,534 −$7 -0%
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? May 27 $914 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
economics 95% −$25
world 5% −$1
sports 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $184 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $184 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $184 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $185 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $185 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $185 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $185 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $185 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $185 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $186 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $186 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $186 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $186 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $186 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $186 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $186 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $187 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $187 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $187 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $187 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $187 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $187 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $187 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $188 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $188 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $188 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $188 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $188 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $188 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $189 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 3 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 3 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
all 3 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.2 tr/day
realistic slip~14%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.01 · official $0.01 (match) · 175 history records