Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:30:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FC
0xfc08…a137
sports · 136 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$34,091 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$31,505 · open −$9
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$71
Realized+$31,505
Unrealized−$9
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses98 / 61
Whale WR (big bets)70%
Est. fees paid−$12,146
Open positions8
Markets (closed)159 / 136
History coverage21d
Avg bet$3,759
Trades / day162.6
Drawdown12%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 8 History 159 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3,469
7 days+$19,064
14 days+$23,086
30 days+$31,505
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels 66¢ 68¢ $11 $11 +$0 (+2%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 40¢ 99¢ $4 $11 +$6 (+149%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Houston Astros 88¢ 90¢ $8 $9 +$0 (+2%)
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays 81¢ 96¢ $6 $8 +$1 (+19%)
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Atlanta Braves 53¢ 8¢ $24 $4 −$20 (-84%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Arizona Diamondbacks 50¢ 44¢ $4 $3 −$0 (-11%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Seattle Mariners 83¢ 92¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+10%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Colorado Rockies 35¢ 34¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays New York Yankees 18¢ 4¢ $8 $2 −$7 (-81%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates 9¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+1011%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres Philadelphia Phillies 85¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+18%)
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Chicago Cubs 61¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+64%)
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates 62¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+61%)
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers San Francisco Giants 46¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+117%)
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Texas Rangers 68¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+46%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Milwaukee Brewers 69¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+45%)
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs Athletics 47¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+112%)
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays 90¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+11%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Philadelphia Phillies 9¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+1000%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 22¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+359%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Athletics 58¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+73%)
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs Athletics 49¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+105%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 48¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+108%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics Seattle Mariners 63¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+59%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles 46¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+118%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 13 $0 +$22 +40919%
Stars vs. Wild Jun 13 $20 +$50 +248%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Sabres vs. Canadiens Jun 13 $0 +$22 +5661%
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Jets vs. Golden Knights Jun 13 $286 −$202 -71%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 13 $0 $0 -120%
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics Jun 13 $5 −$11 -208%
Golden Knights vs. Utah Jun 13 $0 $0 -301%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Kings vs. Kraken Jun 13 $0 $0 +157%
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026? Jun 13 $336 −$336 -100%
Flyers vs. Penguins Jun 13 $13 +$218 +1742%
Canadiens vs. Islanders Jun 13 $244 −$233 -96%
Minnesota Twins vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 13 $4 −$49 -1180%
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 13 $0 $0 -124%
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners Jun 13 $0 −$1 -142%
Military action against Iran ends on April 23, 2026? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 13 $0 +$1 +268%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 13 $0 $0 -216%
Avalanche vs. Kings Jun 13 $90 +$1,066 +1186%
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 13 $0 +$19 +7108%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Rangers vs. Panthers Jun 13 $0 +$538 +211268%
Ducks vs. Golden Knights Jun 13 $0 +$32 +19842%
Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $0 $0 -181%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 13 $0 −$1 -220%
Avalanche vs. Oilers Jun 13 $1,322 −$1,772 -134%
Canucks vs. Ducks Jun 13 $1,252 −$1,366 -109%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 13 $4,351 +$269 +6%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $543 +$23 +4%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $10,728 +$1,600 +15%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $5,847 +$1,020 +17%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $1,681 +$20 +1%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $6,290 +$1,215 +19%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $6,998 −$798 -11%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $234 +$132 +56%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $10,984 +$1,732 +16%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 11 $6,286 +$54 +1%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $3,467 +$99 +3%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 11 $3,112 +$283 +9%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 11 $1,427 −$80 -6%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $2,008 +$225 +11%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 10 $20 −$3 -15%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $1,386 +$475 +34%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 10 $7,795 +$1,015 +13%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 10 $1,566 +$131 +8%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 10 $7,793 +$899 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$33,675
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Colorado Rockies 33¢ $3 1m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Colorado Rockies 33¢ $12 2m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 34¢ $3 2m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Colorado Rockies 38¢ $46 19m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Colorado Rockies 38¢ $183 19m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Colorado Rockies 38¢ $731 19m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 35¢ $933 20m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels SELL Los Angeles Angels 67¢ $31 20m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 66¢ $33 21m
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals SELL Seattle Mariners 89¢ $5 22m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels SELL Los Angeles Angels 67¢ $26 22m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 68¢ $17 24m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels SELL Los Angeles Angels 61¢ $48 30m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels SELL Los Angeles Angels 61¢ $192 31m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels SELL Los Angeles Angels 61¢ $769 32m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels SELL Los Angeles Angels 63¢ $142 33m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels SELL Los Angeles Angels 64¢ $2 33m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels SELL Los Angeles Angels 65¢ $3,725 33m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 65¢ $5,052 33m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels SELL Los Angeles Angels 48¢ $15 35m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels SELL Los Angeles Angels 48¢ $58 35m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels SELL Los Angeles Angels 48¢ $233 35m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels SELL Los Angeles Angels 48¢ $17 35m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels SELL Los Angeles Angels 48¢ $984 35m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels SELL Los Angeles Angels 48¢ $3,935 35m
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays SELL Toronto Blue Jays 87¢ $16 36m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 45¢ $5,081 36m
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays SELL Toronto Blue Jays 87¢ $65 36m
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays SELL Toronto Blue Jays 87¢ $257 37m
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Toronto Blue Jays 81¢ $323 38m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)+418.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 79 +397.8% +350.4% 59% 44% -3.3%
≤30d 159 +472.9% +418.4% 62% 44% -3.0%
≤90d 159 +472.9% +418.4% 62% 44% -3.0%
all 159 +472.9% +418.4% 62% 44% -3.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover162.6 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +418.4% 44% -3.0%
10% +368.8% 34% -12.3%
15% ← realistic here +323.5% 29% -20.8%
20% +282.0% 29% -28.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $70.64 · official $51.47 · 3500 history records