trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 4 | +0.1% | -9.5% | 75% | 0% | -9.5% |
| all | 18 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 94% | 0% | -9.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.3% | 0% | -9.3% |
| 10% | -18.0% | 0% | -18.0% |
| 15% | -25.9% | 0% | -25.9% |
| 20% | -33.2% | 0% | -33.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $21 | $21 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | May 15 | $21 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Apr 23 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | Apr 06 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026? | Mar 24 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 20 | Mar 13 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026? | Feb 19 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026 | Feb 05 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026 | Jan 18 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 20 | Jan 04 | $21 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 202 | Dec 21 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 20 | Dec 06 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025 | Nov 24 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025 | Nov 16 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,300 and $4,400 on November 3? | Nov 10 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,400 and $3,500 on October 30? | Nov 02 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,500 and $3,600 on October 26? | Oct 27 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3,600 on October 21? | Oct 26 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,500 and $4,600 on October 16? | Oct 21 | $20 | $0 | +0% |