Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:48:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FC
0xfc01…f1df
crypto · 2185 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$533 -18%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$224 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$80
Realized−$224
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses956 / 1271
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions26
Markets (closed)2227 / 2185
History coverage43d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day62.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 26 History 2227 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$109
7 days−$109
14 days−$110
30 days−$116
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-2%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands 2nd Half O/U 0.5 Under 46¢ 42¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-7%)
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Curaçao? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-14%)
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 Under 57¢ 56¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 Under 53¢ 52¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 Over 28¢ 28¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+2%)
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score Yes 49¢ 50¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score Yes 55¢ 55¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Yes 38¢ 38¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? Yes 34¢ 34¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden 2nd Half O/U 0.5 Under 49¢ 44¢ $4 $3 −$0 (-11%)
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score Yes 42¢ 42¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? Yes 30¢ 30¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden 1st Half O/U 0.5 Under 54¢ 52¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-4%)
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? Yes 22¢ 22¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+2%)
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5 Over 32¢ 32¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5 Over 27¢ 26¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5 Over 24¢ 24¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Under 43¢ 44¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Under 71¢ 69¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire 1st Half O/U 0.5 Under 69¢ 68¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5 Under 72¢ 70¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$3 +491%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 92% −$115
sports 5% +$43
other 3% +$34
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Germany (-4.5) SELL Curaçao 67¢ $3 30m
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 68¢ $6 30m
Spread: Sweden (-1.5) SELL Tunisia 75¢ $5 31m
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) SELL Japan 76¢ $5 32m
Spread: Germany (-2.5) SELL Germany 70¢ $4 46m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 SELL Under 72¢ $4 50m
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 1.5 SELL Under 83¢ $1 51m
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 1.5 SELL Under 77¢ $1 51m
Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 2.5 SELL Under 89¢ $1 51m
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 49¢ $12 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 2.5 SELL Over 77¢ $12 1h
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5) SELL Côte dIvoire 85¢ $6 1h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 94¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Curaçao? BUY Yes 11¢ $2 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) SELL Japan 76¢ $6 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 2.5 BUY Over 78¢ $4 1h
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 50¢ $4 1h
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $3 1h
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 50¢ $4 1h
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5) BUY Côte dIvoire 86¢ $3 1h
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) BUY Japan 77¢ $5 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 28¢ $2 1h
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Curaçao? BUY Yes 11¢ $2 1h
Spread: Germany (-4.5) BUY Curaçao 69¢ $3 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 2.5 BUY Over 78¢ $4 1h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 94¢ $5 1h
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 24¢ $2 1h
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 22¢ $2 1h
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 49¢ $4 1h
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-19.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 191 -71.6% -74.3% 8% 8% -39.3%
≤30d 910 -16.8% -24.7% 38% 38% -18.0%
≤90d 2227 -10.9% -19.4% 43% 42% -16.5%
all 2227 -10.9% -19.4% 43% 42% -16.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover62.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.4% 42% -16.5%
10% ← realistic here -27.1% 42% -24.5%
15% -34.2% 41% -31.8%
20% -40.6% 38% -38.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $80.37 · official $80.38 (match) · 3500 history records