Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:02:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FB
0xfbf8…99f4
sports · 2160 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$1,187 +16%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,181 · open +$5
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$517
Realized+$1,181
Unrealized+$5
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses1040 / 428
Est. fees paid−$65
Open positions147
Markets (closed)1468 / 2160
History coverage16d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day140.2
Drawdown32%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 147 History 1468 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$269
7 days+$281
14 days+$985
30 days+$1,181
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 88¢ 90¢ $17 $17 +$0 (+2%)
ITF Kayseri: Haydar Cem Gokpinar vs Maxwell Mckennon Maxwell Mckennon 89¢ 88¢ $17 $17 −$0 (-1%)
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 13.5 Total Corners Under 87¢ 86¢ $17 $16 −$0 (-2%)
Rainbow Six Siege: My Queen vs TYLOO (BO3) - CN League Stage 1 Group Stage TYLOO 84¢ 84¢ $13 $13 −$0 (-1%)
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Group B Power Rangers 89¢ 88¢ $12 $12 −$0 (-1%)
ITF Ceska Lipa: Oleksii Krutykh vs Denis Petak Oleksii Krutykh 82¢ 81¢ $11 $11 −$0 (-1%)
Maccabi Tel-Aviv vs. Hapoel Holon BC Maccabi Tel-Aviv 88¢ 100¢ $9 $10 +$1 (+13%)
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Under 80¢ 79¢ $10 $9 −$0 (-1%)
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Under 79¢ 78¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-2%)
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Noir Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Group B Power Rangers 84¢ 80¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-5%)
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Korea Republic 77¢ 78¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+2%)
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Under 77¢ 78¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+1%)
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan India 88¢ 88¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-1%)
Call of Duty: Vancouver Surge vs Paris Gentle Mates - Game 1 Winner Paris Gentle Mates 74¢ 71¢ $7 $6 −$0 (-4%)
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur Alex de Minaur 78¢ 80¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+2%)
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier Los Angeles Thieves 81¢ 80¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-2%)
O/U 2.5 Rounds Under 72¢ 72¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Sandnes Ulf vs. Stroemmen IF: O/U 1.5 Over 80¢ 80¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa Australia 72¢ 75¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+4%)
ITF Zagreb: Iva Primorac vs Elina Avanesyan Elina Avanesyan 76¢ 74¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Stroemsgodset IF vs. Raufoss IL: O/U 2.5 Over 75¢ 72¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Will Northampton Saints win? Yes 67¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+49%)
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier FaZe Vegas 52¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+92%)
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Alzon (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June Group C Alzon 40¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+150%)
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Emma Raducanu 79¢ 80¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907 end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$2 -202%
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-04-11? Jun 13 $1 −$2 -200%
Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-05-24? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will US Avellino 1912 win on 2026-04-11? Jun 13 $2 −$3 -202%
Will El Ittihad SC El Iskandary win on 2026-05-18? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-04-17? Jun 13 $1 −$3 -202%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Ventforet Kōfu vs. Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$3 -200%
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Global Esports (BO3) - Esports World C Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Avaí FC win on 2026-04-26? Jun 13 $1 −$2 -202%
Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-04-18? Jun 13 $1 −$2 -200%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will CD Limache win on 2026-05-24? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
ITF Deauville: Alexander Maarten Sander Jong vs Tristan Berard Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Club Alianza Atlético win on 2026-05-24? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-04-18? Jun 13 $1 −$3 -202%
Roland Garros ATP: Kyrian Jacquet vs Marco Trungelliti Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Colchester United FC win on 2026-04-25? Jun 13 $2 −$3 -202%
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-04-22? Jun 13 $3 −$6 -200%
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-24? Jun 13 $1 −$2 -202%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs NRG (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-27? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara win on 2026-04-21? Jun 13 $2 −$3 -202%
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-05-16? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Júbilo Iwata win on 2026-05-16? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Kamatamare Sanuki win on 2026-04-12? Jun 13 $1 −$2 -200%
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-25? Jun 13 $1 −$2 -202%
Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs Kinoa (BO3) - United21 Group C Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
ITF Bol: Lea Nilsson vs Natalija Senic Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Shōnan Bellmāre vs. Vegalta Sendai end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will NK Lokomotiva Zagreb win on 2026-05-23? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Henan FC win on 2026-04-18? Jun 13 $2 −$3 -200%
Will Wadi Degla SC win on 2026-05-18? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Cusco FC win on 2026-04-18? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -203%
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-05-24? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-04-12? Jun 13 $1 −$2 -200%
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-04-15? Jun 13 $1 −$2 -203%
Will FK Rukh Lviv win on 2026-05-24? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Mboko vs. Cristian: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-05-20? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-04-10? Jun 13 $1 −$3 -200%
Aurora FC vs. CD Marquense: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
StarCraft II: Clem vs Lambo (BO5) - RSL Revival Playoffs Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will WSG Tirol win on 2026-05-16? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-05-16? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Göztepe SK win on 2026-05-16? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Renofa Yamaguchi FC win on 2026-05-16? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A: Switzerland vs Croatia Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 91% +$1,548
other 8% +$186
crypto 0% +$3
world 0% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle BUY Jesper de Jong 73¢ $4 1m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 50¢ $3 11m
ITF Nice: Alina Granwehr vs Jenny Lim BUY Jenny Lim 47¢ $2 14m
ITF Merzig: Marie Weckerle vs Valentina Steiner BUY Valentina Steiner 70¢ $4 16m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 50¢ $3 30m
ITF Monastir: Marcus Walters vs Dominick Mosejczuk BUY Dominick Mosejczuk 67¢ $4 30m
ITF kiseljak: Yaroslav Demin vs Andrey Chepelev BUY Andrey Chepelev 58¢ $3 32m
ITF Kayseri: Haydar Cem Gokpinar vs Maxwell Mckennon BUY Maxwell Mckennon 89¢ $17 49m
ITF Zagreb: Iva Primorac vs Elina Avanesyan BUY Elina Avanesyan 76¢ $5 52m
ITF Ceska Lipa: Oleksii Krutykh vs Denis Petak BUY Oleksii Krutykh 82¢ $12 1h
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Sean Cuenin vs Branko Djuric BUY Sean Cuenin 69¢ $5 1h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 48¢ $2 1h
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Marie Mettraux vs Emma Ottavia Ghirardato BUY Marie Mettraux 69¢ $4 1h
Set 1 Winner: Honda vs Magadan BUY Magadan 55¢ $3 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 56¢ $0 1h
Krejcikova vs. Linette: Match O/U 22.5 BUY Under 57¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 70¢ $4 1h
Türkiye leading at halftime? BUY Yes 41¢ $2 1h
CD Unión La Calera vs. CF Universidad de Chile: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 24¢ $1 1h
ITF Varnamo: Henry Bernet vs Sandro Kopp BUY Henry Bernet 53¢ $3 1h
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Jangjun Kim BUY Jangjun Kim 61¢ $3 1h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs Bigetron by Vitality - Game 2 BUY Geek Fam ID 43¢ $2 2h
Spread: Canada (-2.5) BUY Qatar 72¢ $4 2h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 20¢ $1 2h
ITF Tokyo: Mayuka Aikawa vs Ikumi Yamazaki BUY Ikumi Yamazaki 53¢ $3 2h
ITF Maanshan: Pawit Sornlaksup vs Kokoro Isomura BUY Kokoro Isomura 52¢ $3 2h
ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Sara Saito BUY Sara Saito 55¢ $3 2h
ITF Wuning: Zongyu Li vs Mai Hontama BUY Mai Hontama 60¢ $3 2h
Rainbow Six Siege: My Queen vs TYLOO (BO3) - CN League Stage 1 Group S BUY TYLOO 84¢ $14 2h
ITF Hurghada: Martyna Kubka vs Gabriela Andrea Knutson BUY Gabriela Andrea Knutson 54¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +62%
net ROI/market (all)+21.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 770 +10.0% -0.4% 63% 58% +3.6%
≤30d 1468 +34.5% +21.7% 71% 62% +11.2%
≤90d 1468 +34.5% +21.7% 71% 62% +11.2%
all 1468 +34.5% +21.7% 71% 62% +11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover140.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +21.7% 62% +11.2%
10% ← realistic here +10.1% 53% +0.5%
15% -0.6% 43% -9.2%
20% -10.3% 33% -18.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $516.90 · official $516.33 (match) · 3500 history records