trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 2 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -0.7% | -10.1% | 67% | 67% | -27.0% |
| all | 13 | -2.6% | -11.9% | 46% | 46% | -17.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.9% | 46% | -17.4% |
| 10% | -20.3% | 31% | -25.3% |
| 15% | -28.0% | 23% | -32.5% |
| 20% | -35.1% | 23% | -39.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) | Cincinnati Reds | 46¢ | 8¢ | $31 | $5 | −$26 (-84%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avalanche vs. Golden Knights | May 27 | $22 | −$22 | -98% |
| Golden Knights vs. Avalanche | May 23 | $52 | −$52 | -100% |
| Ducks vs. Golden Knights | May 13 | $26 | +$17 | +65% |
| Ducks vs. Golden Knights | May 07 | $25 | −$24 | -99% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | May 05 | $15 | +$2 | +13% |
| Flyers vs. Penguins | Apr 28 | $19 | +$6 | +31% |
| Stars vs. Wild | Apr 26 | $10 | +$10 | +97% |
| Hurricanes vs. Senators | Apr 26 | $24 | +$19 | +76% |
| Flyers vs. Penguins | Apr 21 | $27 | +$3 | +12% |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the mos | Mar 19 | $100 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Mar 10 | $14 | −$4 | -26% |
| Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Mar 06 | $104 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 27 | $105 | −$1 | -1% |