Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:32:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FB
0xfbdd…9ba3
crypto · 657 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$995 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,122 · open −$127
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$634
Realized+$1,122
Unrealized−$127
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses349 / 304
Est. fees paid−$245
Open positions4
Markets (closed)653 / 657
History coverage76d
Avg bet$38
Trades / day37.7
Drawdown59%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 4 History 653 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$22
7 days+$1,177
14 days+$1,519
30 days+$1,482
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 77¢ 78¢ $398 $405 +$7 (+2%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Aurora Gaming 41¢ 74¢ $79 $143 +$64 (+82%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 39¢ 38¢ $88 $86 −$2 (-3%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Team WE 40¢ 0¢ $197 $0 −$196 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $100 +$185 +185%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $100 +$197 +197%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $150 −$150 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $80 +$86 +107%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $305 +$160 +52%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $195 −$104 -53%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $160 −$160 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $50 −$50 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $210 −$210 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $100 +$75 +75%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $489 +$24 +5%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage Jun 11 $110 −$5 -5%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group S Jun 10 $100 −$100 -100%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $20 +$47 +238%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $200 −$200 -100%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Jun 10 $100 +$129 +129%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $303 −$260 -86%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $91 +$28 +30%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $302 −$169 -56%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $501 +$594 +119%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $186 +$43 +23%
Will DR Congo vs. Chile end in a draw? Jun 09 $19 +$3 +16%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $2 +$1 +73%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 09 $956 −$233 -24%
Map Handicap: XLG (-1.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+1.5) Jun 09 $212 +$162 +76%
Map Handicap: GE (-1.5) vs FULL SENSE (+1.5) Jun 09 $279 −$124 -44%
Will India win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 09 $288 −$115 -40%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $939 +$26 +3%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $824 +$345 +42%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $30 −$7 -25%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $388 −$231 -60%
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Will France vs. Northern Ireland end in a draw? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Will France win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta Jun 08 $203 +$295 +146%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $295 +$85 +29%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $70 −$51 -73%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $100 +$33 +33%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $140 +$107 +76%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $64 −$5 -7%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $166 +$18 +11%
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 1.5 Jun 07 $7 −$4 -59%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $301 +$3 +1%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $321 +$129 +40%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $25 −$25 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $240 +$207 +86%
Brazil vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Brazil vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5 Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 52% +$1,409
crypto 48% −$407
other 0% −$9
tech 0% +$1
politics 0% −$1
world 0% +$1
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 77¢ $40 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 45¢ $80 2h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 37¢ $120 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Aurora Gaming 41¢ $80 4h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 38¢ $40 4h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 76¢ $160 4h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 39¢ $50 7h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 78¢ $200 7h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 34¢ $100 18h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 47¢ $166 27h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 22¢ $80 27h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $50 28h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 32¢ $30 28h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $50 28h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 53¢ $150 28h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 65¢ $100 43h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 39¢ $100 43h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 27¢ $50 47h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY BetBoom Team 26¢ $50 2d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S SELL BetBoom Team 16¢ $35 2d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 76¢ $50 2d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY BetBoom Team 22¢ $50 2d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S SELL BetBoom Team 21¢ $60 2d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 65¢ $50 2d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 36¢ $50 2d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY BetBoom Team 49¢ $50 2d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 65¢ $50 2d
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 45¢ $100 2d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S SELL TheMongolz 50¢ $232 2d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 65¢ $105 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-14.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 58 +4.8% -5.2% 53% 48% +0.5%
≤30d 145 -3.9% -13.1% 48% 44% +1.7%
≤90d 653 -5.7% -14.7% 53% 48% -5.4%
all 653 -5.7% -14.7% 53% 48% -5.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover37.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.7% 48% -5.4%
10% ← realistic here -22.9% 43% -14.4%
15% -30.3% 38% -22.7%
20% -37.1% 32% -30.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $634.47 · official $634.47 (match) · 3500 history records