Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:08:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FB
0xfbd2…5c2f
crypto · 37 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses19 / 18
Open positions0
Markets (closed)37 / 37
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day75.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 37 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$4
14 days−$4
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -48%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +81%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +22%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +71%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +137%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +86%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 28m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Down 72¢ $2 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 32m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $2 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 36m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 39m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 89¢ $3 39m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 39m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $1 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $1 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 46m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 54m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Down 64¢ $1 54m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Up 35¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 56m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-28.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 -20.5% -28.0% 51% 41% -17.4%
≤30d 37 -20.5% -28.0% 51% 41% -17.4%
≤90d 37 -20.5% -28.0% 51% 41% -17.4%
all 37 -20.5% -28.0% 51% 41% -17.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover75.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -28.0% 41% -17.4%
10% ← realistic here -34.9% 32% -25.3%
15% -41.2% 27% -32.6%
20% -47.0% 22% -39.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 94 history records