trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +45.0% | +31.2% | 50% | 25% | +15.2% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +16.0% | +5.0% | 40% | 20% | +10.9% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -13.4% | -21.6% | 29% | 14% | -2.4% |
| all | 24 | -30.7% | -37.3% | 29% | 25% | -29.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -37.3% | 25% | -29.0% |
| 10% | -43.3% | 21% | -35.8% |
| 15% | -48.8% | 21% | -42.0% |
| 20% | -53.8% | 21% | -47.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 4¢ | 2¢ | $12 | $7 | −$5 (-44%) |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $8 | $3 | −$6 (-69%) |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-7%) |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%? | Yes | 8¢ | 2¢ | $4 | $1 | −$3 (-71%) |
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-8%) |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+7%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $1 | $0 | -22% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 15 | $9 | +$18 | +198% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | Jun 11 | $46 | +$5 | +10% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | Jun 11 | $20 | −$1 | -7% |
| Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs | May 21 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | May 15 | $4 | −$4 | -88% |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | May 14 | $8 | −$7 | -86% |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Jan 19 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | Jan 15 | $5 | $0 | -10% |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? | Jan 08 | $3 | $0 | +14% |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? | Jan 08 | $5 | −$3 | -68% |
| Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential e | Jan 07 | $7 | +$7 | +97% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | Dec 19 | $41 | −$23 | -56% |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | Dec 19 | $9 | +$5 | +58% |
| Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025? | Dec 12 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025? | Dec 12 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Maduro out in 2025? | Dec 11 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | Dec 10 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 10? | Dec 10 | $2 | −$2 | -94% |
| Will Powell say "Pandemic" during December press conference? | Dec 10 | $5 | +$3 | +74% |
| Will Powell say "Pause" during December press conference? | Dec 10 | $4 | +$4 | +78% |
| Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election? | Dec 10 | $179 | −$6 | -3% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | Dec 09 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30? | Nov 25 | $60 | −$60 | -100% |