Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:10:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FB
0xfb9e…11d4
crypto · 1232 markets active 0h ago
3.0score
−$2,804 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,916 · open +$112
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$440
Realized−$2,916
Unrealized+$112
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses642 / 580
Whale WR (big bets)86%
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions10
Markets (closed)1222 / 1232
History coverage350d
Avg bet$110
Trades / day8.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 10 History 1222 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$35
7 days−$2
14 days−$297
30 days+$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? No 52¢ 88¢ $71 $121 +$50 (+70%)
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? No 74¢ 86¢ $100 $116 +$16 (+16%)
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? Yes 57¢ 88¢ $65 $101 +$36 (+56%)
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? No 48¢ 56¢ $25 $29 +$4 (+18%)
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No 24¢ 23¢ $25 $24 −$1 (-4%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.50T and 1.75T? Yes 2¢ 4¢ $5 $12 +$7 (+143%)
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T? No 9¢ 9¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Up 20¢ 17¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-15%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+14%)
Will Independiente del Valle win on 2025-09-17? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $118K on July 20 at 5PM ET? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Donald Trump issue 8–10 executive orders in July? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35-40 million views on day 1? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026? No 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 7? No 76¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116K and $117K on July 24 at 5PM ET? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11AM ET Up 0¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31? No 6¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on October 22? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2025-10-19? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4? Up 15¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114K and $116K on August 22? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $101 +$8 +8%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $46 +$20 +44%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $101 +$8 +8%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $63 +$65 +103%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? Jun 11 $119 −$66 -56%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $15 +$10 +67%
Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $15 −$15 -98%
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $10 +$6 +57%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 10? Jun 11 $10 +$5 +50%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 10? Jun 11 $20 +$1 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $60 +$5 +9%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $10 +$7 +64%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $100 +$4 +4%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $101 +$14 +14%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $10 +$14 +134%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $10 +$10 +101%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $56 −$29 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5AM ET Jun 09 $12 +$9 +78%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $10 −$10 -99%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $10 −$10 -96%
Will Claude 5 be released by June 12, 2026? Jun 09 $10 −$10 -97%
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? Jun 09 $38 −$37 -97%
Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9? Jun 09 $10 −$10 -98%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $5 −$5 -95%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 9? Jun 08 $50 +$6 +13%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $21 −$10 -48%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $10 +$5 +47%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 9? Jun 08 $6 −$6 -95%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7? Jun 08 $20 +$10 +47%
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $51 −$50 -98%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 8? Jun 07 $5 −$5 -95%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $21 +$29 +141%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 7? Jun 07 $5 −$5 -94%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June? Jun 07 $11 +$30 +279%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $51 +$14 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 6? Jun 06 $122 −$18 -15%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $51 +$20 +40%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $27 −$26 -96%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 5? Jun 06 $51 +$12 +24%
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 5? Jun 05 $11 +$8 +71%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $26 −$25 -97%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 6? Jun 04 $27 −$26 -96%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $5 −$5 -94%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $10 −$10 -95%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 5? Jun 04 $1 −$1 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 6? Jun 04 $5 −$5 -96%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 5? Jun 04 $5 −$5 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% −$3,331
world 4% +$845
other 4% −$143
politics 3% −$73
sports 2% +$133
tech 1% −$231
finance 0% +$6
economics 0% −$10
culture 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $6 3m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $20 1h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 24¢ $25 1h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 48¢ $25 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $109 12h
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 94¢ $60 24h
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.50T and 1.75T? BUY Yes 2¢ $5 29h
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 32¢ $6 32h
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T? BUY No 4¢ $1 37h
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? SELL No 90¢ $128 41h
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? BUY No 41¢ $53 47h
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? SELL Yes 23¢ $53 47h
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 55¢ $36 47h
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? BUY No 74¢ $102 47h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13? BUY No 92¢ $101 2d
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 11? BUY No 92¢ $101 2d
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? BUY No 51¢ $10 2d
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 49¢ $10 2d
Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Down 46¢ $5 2d
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Down 31¢ $5 2d
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Down 44¢ $10 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 11? SELL Yes 100¢ $66 2d
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 10? SELL No 100¢ $17 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11? SELL Yes 99¢ $105 2d
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 10? SELL No 100¢ $115 2d
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 10? BUY No 96¢ $20 3d
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 10? BUY No 66¢ $10 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11? BUY Yes 95¢ $100 3d
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 10? BUY No 87¢ $101 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-23.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 -5.6% -14.6% 57% 43% -9.7%
≤30d 145 -25.5% -32.6% 40% 35% -9.2%
≤90d 188 -18.6% -26.4% 41% 34% -4.7%
all 1222 -14.9% -23.0% 53% 32% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -23.0% 32% -11.5%
10% -30.4% 23% -20.0%
15% -37.1% 18% -27.7%
20% -43.2% 14% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $439.52 · official $439.54 (match) · 3033 history records