Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:42:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FB
0xfb90…4eac
crypto · 1394 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$481 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$485 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized+$485
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses716 / 498
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1214 / 1394
History coverage6d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day484.8
Drawdown61%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1214 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$484
7 days+$485
14 days+$485
30 days+$485
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 0¢ 50¢ $0 $3 +$3 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,229
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-2.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1214 +7.4% -2.8% 59% 50% -2.9%
≤30d 1214 +7.4% -2.8% 59% 50% -2.9%
≤90d 1214 +7.4% -2.8% 59% 50% -2.9%
all 1214 +7.4% -2.8% 59% 50% -2.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover484.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.8% 50% -2.9%
10% ← realistic here -12.1% 40% -12.2%
15% -20.6% 32% -20.7%
20% -28.4% 26% -28.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.57 · official $2.58 (match) · 3500 history records