trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +0.3% | -9.3% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +0.3% | -9.3% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +0.3% | -9.3% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| all | 26 | +0.7% | -8.9% | 92% | 0% | -9.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.9% | 0% | -9.4% |
| 10% | -17.6% | 0% | -18.1% |
| 15% | -25.5% | 0% | -26.0% |
| 20% | -32.8% | 0% | -33.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $79 | $79 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $50 | $50 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $50 on the final trading day of June 2026? | Yes | 99¢ | 99¢ | $40 | $40 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 20 | Jun 21 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m | Jun 21 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will there be at least 1,300 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, | Jun 21 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will 120 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026 | Jun 21 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| USD.AI FDV above $4B one day after launch? | Jun 21 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, | Jun 21 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Axiom be accused of insider trading? | Jun 21 | $100 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Grok be the next CEO of X? | Feb 26 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at >$560 in 2025? | Feb 26 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025? | Feb 26 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch? | Feb 26 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025? | Feb 26 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch? | Feb 26 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Meteora launch a token in 2025? | Dec 22 | $60 | $0 | +0% |
| Xi Jinping out before October? | Dec 22 | $128 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024? | Sep 19 | $10 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Solana hit $300 by January 31, 2025? | Sep 19 | $32 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by January 31, 2025? | Sep 19 | $65 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by January 31, 2025? | Sep 19 | $65 | $0 | +0% |
| Tether Insolvent in 2024? | Jan 27 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| Base airdrop in 2024? | Jan 27 | $5 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024? | Jan 27 | $15 | $0 | +3% |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024? | Jan 27 | $151 | +$1 | +0% |
| Swell airdrop in 2024? | Nov 28 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Nov 05 | $372 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Nov 05 | $373 | −$1 | -0% |