Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:43:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FB
0xfb87…a45d
crypto · 445 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$534 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$604 · open −$135
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$976
Realized+$604
Unrealized−$135
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses217 / 215
Whale WR (big bets)62%
Est. fees paid−$169
Open positions10
Markets (closed)432 / 445
History coverage280d
Avg bet$62
Trades / day4.3
Drawdown92%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 10 History 432 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$101
7 days+$17
14 days−$551
30 days−$547
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs Wanted Goons 61¢ 58¢ $338 $324 −$14 (-4%)
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner F5 Esports 51¢ 64¢ $191 $236 +$45 (+24%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $100 $100 −$0 (-0%)
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $90 $97 +$7 (+7%)
Dota 2: GG Boom vs Ignite (BO3) - The International North America Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs GG Boom 72¢ 84¢ $74 $86 +$13 (+17%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 29¢ 30¢ $47 $48 +$1 (+2%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) 9z 35¢ 36¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+1%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $30 $27 −$3 (-11%)
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 7¢ 1¢ $207 $17 −$191 (-92%)
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs F5 Esports 30¢ 42¢ $8 $11 +$3 (+39%)
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 1 Winner F5 Esports 23¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group D GenOne 42¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 41¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Frances Tiafoe 56¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage Lavked 47¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 51¢ 0¢ $125 $0 −$125 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 24? No 11¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 164.5 Over 53¢ 0¢ $163 $0 −$163 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 35¢ 0¢ $74 $0 −$74 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dota 2: GG Boom vs Ignite - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $62 −$62 -100%
Counter-Strike: Gaming By Legends vs Saab (BO1) - ROG Journey Group A Jun 12 $5 +$1 +22%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $52 +$31 +58%
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ Jun 12 $192 +$66 +34%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $170 +$188 +111%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $44 −$43 -98%
Ermedin Demirović: 2+ goals Jun 12 $9 −$9 -97%
Ermedin Demirović: 1+ goals Jun 12 $40 −$39 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $67 +$100 +148%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $131 +$100 +76%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $6 +$5 +85%
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs MASQ (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B Jun 12 $69 −$69 -100%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $6 $0 -2%
Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs INOX Division (+1.5) Jun 12 $322 +$10 +3%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $25 $0 -0%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $61 +$36 +60%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 12 $50 −$49 -98%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 12 $212 −$3 -2%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $22 −$22 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $174 −$171 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $222 −$219 -99%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $74 +$50 +68%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $54 +$35 +65%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $126 +$128 +101%
Mexico leading at halftime? Jun 11 $69 +$77 +112%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $180 −$177 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $75 −$74 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $119 −$117 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $45 +$53 +118%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5) Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $134 +$152 +114%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $89 −$88 -98%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Jun 11 $97 −$95 -99%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 11 $120 +$116 +97%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $127 −$125 -99%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $127 +$112 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Jun 10 $112 +$92 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 -4%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs RUSTEC (BO3) - European Pro L Jun 10 $21 +$10 +47%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage Jun 10 $21 +$3 +15%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $75 +$72 +96%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $65 −$65 -100%
Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 164.5 Jun 09 $165 −$163 -99%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $109 +$34 +31%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 58% +$860
other 15% +$144
crypto 14% −$226
politics 7% −$17
economics 2% −$504
weather 2% +$307
world 2% −$16
culture 1% −$59
tech 0% −$21
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner BUY F5 Esports 58¢ $2 43m
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner BUY F5 Esports 58¢ $4 43m
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner BUY F5 Esports 58¢ $39 43m
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner BUY F5 Esports 51¢ $7 44m
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner BUY F5 Esports 51¢ $8 44m
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner BUY F5 Esports 51¢ $9 44m
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner BUY F5 Esports 50¢ $40 46m
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner BUY F5 Esports 48¢ $5 46m
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner SELL F5 Esports 42¢ $5 50m
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner BUY F5 Esports 51¢ $0 51m
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner BUY F5 Esports 49¢ $11 51m
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner BUY F5 Esports 51¢ $29 51m
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner BUY F5 Esports 47¢ $3 52m
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner BUY F5 Esports 49¢ $39 56m
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner BUY F5 Esports 45¢ $2 56m
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Wanted Goons 73¢ $7 58m
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Wanted Goons 73¢ $54 58m
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Wanted Goons 73¢ $5 58m
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Wanted Goons 71¢ $52 59m
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Wanted Goons 70¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Wanted Goons 71¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Wanted Goons 70¢ $21 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Wanted Goons 70¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Wanted Goons 71¢ $12 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Wanted Goons 68¢ $34 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo SELL Wanted Goons 52¢ $33 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo SELL Wanted Goons 53¢ $26 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo SELL Wanted Goons 53¢ $27 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo SELL Wanted Goons 50¢ $7 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo SELL Wanted Goons 50¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-20.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 65 -11.0% -19.4% 49% 43% -8.8%
≤30d 93 -12.4% -20.7% 46% 40% -14.2%
≤90d 310 -26.3% -33.3% 47% 42% -22.9%
all 432 -12.4% -20.7% 50% 44% -7.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.7% 44% -7.2%
10% -28.3% 36% -16.1%
15% -35.2% 26% -24.2%
20% -41.6% 18% -31.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $975.80 · official $975.80 (match) · 1547 history records