Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:05:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FB
0xfb79…00ea
sports · 12 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$156 +24%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$150 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized+$150
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses7 / 4
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions0
Markets (closed)11 / 12
History coverage3d
Avg bet$55
Trades / day6.6
Drawdown64%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 0 History 11 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$213
7 days+$150
14 days+$150
30 days+$150
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) South Africa 60¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Switzerland 60¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Under 58¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $67 +$34 +51%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $51 +$40 +79%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $51 +$56 +109%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $61 −$60 -99%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $51 +$55 +109%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $30 +$20 +67%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $51 +$100 +197%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $51 −$33 -64%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $51 −$50 -99%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $51 +$37 +73%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $81 −$50 -62%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 85% +$127
other 15% +$23
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5 SELL Over 99¢ $100 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 65¢ $67 2h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 AND Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 BUY 38¢ $67 2h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 100¢ $91 15h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 55¢ $51 17h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $51 26h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 60¢ $61 27h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $106 38h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $51 42h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 100¢ $51 45h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $151 45h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 33¢ $51 46h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 20¢ $18 46h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 59¢ $30 2d
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $51 2d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $51 2d
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY South Africa 60¢ $51 3d
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) SELL Mexico 40¢ $29 3d
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 41¢ $31 3d
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 57¢ $51 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +64%
net ROI/market (all)+16.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 +29.2% +16.9% 64% 64% +14.7%
≤30d 11 +29.2% +16.9% 64% 64% +14.7%
≤90d 11 +29.2% +16.9% 64% 64% +14.7%
all 11 +29.2% +16.9% 64% 64% +14.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +16.9% 64% +14.7%
10% +5.7% 64% +3.7%
15% -4.5% 64% -6.3%
20% -13.9% 64% -15.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $66.00 · 22 history records