Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T09:06:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0

score

FB 0xfb72…8255 crypto 4 markets active 1h ago coverage 2d

RISKYcopy with care crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample

✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ bot/MM pace (54 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage

Total PnL −$6 (-0%) realized −$6 · open +$0

Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗

Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns

→−copy tax

Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip

Net edge-26%after slip

Net WR0%break-even

Win rate0%0W / 2L

Drawdown100%max

Avg bet$1,415per market

Trades / day54.4pace

Kalshi-fit100%portable

Net worth$1now

Equity curve

realized PnL

Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net

insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge

break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even

chance a trade nets +0%

net ROI/market (all)-9.7%

timeframe	markets	gross ROI	NET ROI	gross WR	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
≤7d	2	-0.2%	-9.7%	0%	0%	-9.7%
≤30d	2	-0.2%	-9.7%	0%	0%	-9.7%
≤90d	2	-0.2%	-9.7%	0%	0%	-9.7%
all	2	-0.2%	-9.7%	0%	0%	-9.7%

gross = as the leader traded. net = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip

turnover54.4 tr/day

realistic slip~15%

edge survives to0%

copier slippage	NET ROI	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
5% ideal	-9.7%	0%	-9.7%
10%	-18.4%	0%	-18.3%
15% ← realistic here	-26.2%	0%	-26.2%
20%	-33.5%	0%	-33.4%

Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a trap: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill

Profit concentration

top —% · top 2 —% thin sample

Edge freshness (90d)

90d ROI -0% too few recent

Fragile wins

—% wins margin < slip thin sample

Flat-copyable

equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat

Big bets

big-bet WR —% no data

Persistence

early —% → late —% no data

Add-ons / DCA

14.8 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer

Win / loss size

— vs −$2 no data

Profit factor

×0.0 loses more than it wins

Copy size

≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage

Net worth$1

Realized−$6

Unrealized+$0

Win rate (resolved)0%

Wins / losses0 / 2

Open positions2

Markets (closed)2 / 4

History coverage2d

Avg bet$1,415

Trades / day54.4

Drawdown100%

Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades

Positions 2 History 2 Trades

Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket

Market	outcome	entry	now	invested	value	unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18?	Yes	100¢	100¢	$0	$0	+$0 (+0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18?	Yes	98¢	99¢	$0	$0	+$0 (+0%)

Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).

Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first

Market	when	invested	PnL	ROI
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Jun 18	$40	$0	-0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 16?	Jun 16	$2,755	−$4	-0%

Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.

Latest trades by this wallet

Market	side	price	size	when
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18?	SELL Yes	100¢	$56	56m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18?	BUY Yes	100¢	$56	56m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18?	SELL Yes	100¢	$100	56m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18?	BUY Yes	100¢	$100	58m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18?	SELL Yes	100¢	$100	58m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18?	BUY Yes	100¢	$100	1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18?	SELL Yes	100¢	$100	1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18?	BUY Yes	100¢	$100	1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18?	SELL Yes	100¢	$100	1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18?	BUY Yes	100¢	$100	1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18?	SELL Yes	100¢	$100	1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18?	BUY Yes	100¢	$100	1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18?	SELL Yes	100¢	$100	1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18?	BUY Yes	100¢	$100	1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18?	SELL Yes	100¢	$100	1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18?	BUY Yes	100¢	$100	1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18?	SELL Yes	100¢	$100	1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18?	BUY Yes	100¢	$100	1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18?	SELL Yes	98¢	$100	1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18?	BUY Yes	98¢	$100	1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18?	SELL Yes	98¢	$100	1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18?	BUY Yes	98¢	$100	1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18?	SELL Yes	98¢	$100	1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18?	BUY Yes	98¢	$100	1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18?	SELL Yes	98¢	$100	1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18?	BUY Yes	98¢	$100	1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18?	SELL Yes	98¢	$100	1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18?	BUY Yes	98¢	$100	1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18?	SELL Yes	100¢	$100	1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18?	BUY Yes	100¢	$100	1h

From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.

✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.51 · official $0.00 (match) · 118 history records