Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T16:17:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
FB 0xfb69…6a82 crypto 1653 markets active 1h ago coverage 42d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (53 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$324 (-4%) realized −$324 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR59%break-even
Win rate59%921W / 635L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day53.1pace
Kalshi-fit90%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$153
7 days−$33
14 days−$39
30 days+$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 91% −$55
other 9% −$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (53 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-6.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 431 +8.6% -1.8% 68% 68% -12.3%
≤30d 836 +5.0% -5.0% 64% 64% -9.3%
≤90d 1556 +3.2% -6.7% 59% 59% -10.6%
all 1556 +3.2% -6.7% 59% 59% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover53.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.7% 59% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here -15.6% 58% -19.1%
15% -23.7% 57% -26.9%
20% -31.2% 53% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
1% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +3% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late +6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$5 · ×0.67 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.97 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

42d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$324
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses921 / 635
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1556 / 1653
History coverage42d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day53.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1556 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$2 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $4 +$3 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$3 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$2 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$2 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$2 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$2 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$2 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$3 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$3 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $15 −$15 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $4 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $4 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $4 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $0 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $4 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $4 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $4 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $4 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $4 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3206 history records