Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:43:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FB
0xfb66…e45e
crypto · 105 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$17 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$17 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$17
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses46 / 59
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)105 / 105
History coverage4d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day51.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 0 History 105 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$17
14 days−$17
30 days−$17
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +42%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $2 $0 -5%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 13 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +101%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 13 $7 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential ele Jun 12 $3 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$4 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +48%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? Jun 12 $5 $0 -10%
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 $0 -8%
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 12 $1 $0 -2%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 12 $7 −$3 -48%
Luis Chávez: 1+ shots Jun 12 $1 −$1 -92%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 $0 -4%
Mexico leading at halftime? Jun 11 $1 $0 -7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 82% −$1
sports 7% −$12
other 6% −$2
politics 5% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $10 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $4 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $6 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 54m
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 17¢ $1 58m
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 17¢ $1 59m
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 1h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 1h
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL Yes 33¢ $4 1h
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY Yes 33¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Down 37¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Down 6¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Up 8¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-14.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 105 -5.0% -14.0% 44% 42% -13.7%
≤30d 105 -5.0% -14.0% 44% 42% -13.7%
≤90d 105 -5.0% -14.0% 44% 42% -13.7%
all 105 -5.0% -14.0% 44% 42% -13.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover51.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.0% 42% -13.7%
10% ← realistic here -22.3% 34% -22.0%
15% -29.8% 28% -29.5%
20% -36.7% 20% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 296 history records