Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:33:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FB
0xfb5e…112b
crypto · 1375 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$241 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$217 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$217
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses1158 / 217
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1375 / 1375
History coverage58d
Avg bet$29
Trades / day28.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1375 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$20
7 days+$9
14 days−$35
30 days−$128
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $22 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $24 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $23 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $24 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $24 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $27 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $30 −$5 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $23 +$27 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $24 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $24 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $24 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $24 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $37 −$12 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $23 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $22 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $24 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$6 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$5 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $23 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $22 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $24 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $23 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $24 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $24 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $22 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $23 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$3 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $27 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $24 +$1 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$217
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $22 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $24 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $24 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $24 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $22 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $24 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $21 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $24 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $24 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $24 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $24 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $14 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $23 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-9.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 434 +1.3% -8.3% 87% 6% -9.5%
≤30d 1104 +0.3% -9.2% 85% 5% -9.9%
≤90d 1375 +0.3% -9.2% 84% 5% -10.0%
all 1375 +0.3% -9.2% 84% 5% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover28.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.2% 5% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -17.9% 2% -18.6%
15% -25.9% 1% -26.5%
20% -33.1% 1% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records