Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:48:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FB
0xfb4f…da49
sports · 457 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$17 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$13 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$29
Realized+$13
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses189 / 246
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions15
Markets (closed)435 / 457
History coverage21d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day27.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit72%
Chart Positions 15 History 435 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$34
7 days+$26
14 days+$6
30 days+$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 83¢ 94¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+14%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs XLG Gaming 19¢ 82¢ $1 $4 +$3 (+334%)
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-4.5) vs XLG Gaming (+4.5) XLG Gaming 48¢ 100¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+108%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner XLG Gaming 32¢ 100¢ $1 $3 +$2 (+212%)
Switzerland leading at halftime? Yes 63¢ 96¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+52%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 17¢ 25¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+47%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Over 33¢ 43¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+30%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Switzerland 61¢ 78¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+29%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score No 64¢ 78¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+21%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Over 57¢ 60¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+6%)
Will EDward Gaming win Valorant Masters London 2026? Yes 7¢ 6¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-9%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Over 38¢ 32¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-17%)
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona La Laguna Tenerife 42¢ 16¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-63%)
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 Over 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner XLG Gaming 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Spread: Thailand (-1.5) Thailand 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Moldova win on 2026-06-05? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Wales vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5 Over 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Togo vs. Benin end in a draw? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spread: Cyprus (-2.5) Cyprus 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spread: Gibraltar (-2.5) British Virgin Islands 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-06-06? No 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Yunnan Yukun FC leading at halftime? Yes 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Brazil vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5 Over 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Over 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $8 +$9 +116%
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5) Jun 13 $5 +$2 +46%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $4 +$7 +165%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5) Jun 13 $4 $0 -6%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 AND Will United States win Jun 13 $2 +$5 +238%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $3 +$3 +114%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? AND Will Paraguay win o Jun 13 $10 +$6 +55%
United States leading at halftime? Jun 13 $1 +$2 +188%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $1 +$2 +158%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $1 +$4 +344%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $1 +$4 +414%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $3 +$2 +68%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $3 +$1 +25%
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Alba Berlin: O/U 159.5 Jun 12 $1 +$1 +76%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl Jun 12 $3 +$2 +90%
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Alba Berlin Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 $0 -5%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+2.5) Jun 12 $3 +$2 +90%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla Jun 12 $3 +$2 +48%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -62%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $2 +$2 +97%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $14 +$6 +42%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Spread: Armenia (-1.5) Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Barcelona vs. La Laguna Tenerife Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Lo Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Venezuela win on 2026-06-06? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-06? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs Global Esports (+1.5) Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-06? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Kyōto Sanga FC (-1.5) Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $1 +$1 +70%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $1 +$1 +138%
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 111.5 Jun 11 $1 +$1 +97%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $1 +$1 +60%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $1 +$2 +165%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $1 +$1 +65%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 63% +$9
other 32% +$1
crypto 3% $0
world 1% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY 38¢ $2 32m
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) AND Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY 26¢ $2 35m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY 38¢ $4 38m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 33¢ $1 49m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 57¢ $1 51m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner BUY XLG Gaming 32¢ $1 1h
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 BUY Over 63¢ $2 1h
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-4.5) vs XLG Gaming (+4.5) BUY XLG Gaming 48¢ $2 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 83¢ $6 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 61¢ $1 1h
Switzerland leading at halftime? BUY Yes 63¢ $1 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Over 38¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY No 64¢ $1 1h
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona BUY La Laguna Tenerife 42¢ $2 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner BUY XLG Gaming 30¢ $1 2h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner BUY XLG Gaming 30¢ $1 2h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner BUY XLG Gaming 30¢ $1 2h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 19¢ $1 2h
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5) SELL XLG Gaming 43¢ $4 2h
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5) BUY XLG Gaming 44¢ $4 2h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 37¢ $4 4h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 45¢ $3 5h
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5) BUY EDward Gaming 68¢ $5 5h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-1 BUY 54¢ $10 8h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 AND Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY 28¢ $2 8h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) AND Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 AND Spread: Sw BUY 7¢ $1 8h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 AND Spread: Brazil (-1.5) AND Haiti vs. BUY 17¢ $3 9h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 46¢ $5 9h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 19¢ $1 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-13.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 127 +0.2% -9.3% 40% 40% +1.9%
≤30d 435 -4.0% -13.2% 43% 43% -7.5%
≤90d 435 -4.0% -13.2% 43% 43% -7.5%
all 435 -4.0% -13.2% 43% 43% -7.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover27.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.2% 43% -7.5%
10% ← realistic here -21.5% 42% -16.3%
15% -29.1% 41% -24.4%
20% -36.0% 36% -31.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $28.83 · official $52.83 · 737 history records