Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:26:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FB
0xfb1e…e4ef
sports · 983 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$3 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$9 · open −$11
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$84
Realized+$9
Unrealized−$11
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses374 / 513
Est. fees paid−$38
Open positions22
Markets (closed)887 / 983
History coverage18d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day70.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 22 History 887 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$22
7 days+$122
14 days+$168
30 days+$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Sho Shimabukuro 27¢ 55¢ $7 $14 +$7 (+102%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24? No 86¢ 86¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-1%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 40¢ 38¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-4%)
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) DR Congo 48¢ 48¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes 87¢ 85¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-2%)
Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw? Yes 7¢ 6¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-17%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? No 80¢ 80¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikos Olympiacos B.C. 72¢ 71¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 48¢ 46¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-5%)
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? No 63¢ 58¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-7%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? No 27¢ 28¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+4%)
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 Over 43¢ 44¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? No 52¢ 52¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier FaZe Vegas 53¢ 52¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-3%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25? No 34¢ 34¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5 Under 28¢ 28¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Set Handicap: Raducanu (-1.5) vs Rakhimova (+1.5) Rakhimova 42¢ 41¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Under 28¢ 26¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-5%)
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 1.5 Under 27¢ 26¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-6%)
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score Yes 36¢ 34¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-7%)
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-69%)
Ilkley: Katie Swan vs Ashlyn Krueger Katie Swan 27¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Corentin Moutet Corentin Moutet 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Tyra Caterina Grant Tyra Caterina Grant 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Pittsburgh Pirates 40¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $3 +$3 +109%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $3 +$3 +119%
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz Jun 12 $5 +$5 +97%
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Jun 12 $7 +$11 +146%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs ONIC (BO5) - MPL Indonesia Pl Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $3 +$2 +70%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $11 +$4 +35%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Jun 11 $3 +$3 +101%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $3 +$3 +109%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -96%
Griekspoor vs. Zhang: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 11 $3 +$2 +90%
Set 1 Winner: Filip vs Kumstat Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Darya Velikova vs Iva Ivanovic Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $3 $0 -2%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $5 $0 -2%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5 Jun 11 $5 +$5 +83%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +52%
Spread: England (-1.5) Jun 10 $3 +$2 +50%
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5 Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $6 +$5 +82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -96%
Will Portugal vs. Nigeria end in a draw? Jun 10 $9 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $8 +$2 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +101%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 10 $3 −$3 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 10 $7 −$2 -31%
Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs XI Esport (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe P Jun 10 $7 +$13 +173%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 10 $6 −$5 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 10 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $6 +$5 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$5 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4PM ET Jun 10 $7 +$8 +124%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 59% +$206
crypto 30% −$200
other 10% −$10
world 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Set Handicap: Raducanu (-1.5) vs Rakhimova (+1.5) BUY Rakhimova 42¢ $3 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Sho Shimabukuro 27¢ $2 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Sho Shimabukuro 27¢ $2 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Sho Shimabukuro 27¢ $3 1h
Ilkley: Katie Swan vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Katie Swan 26¢ $2 2h
Ilkley: Katie Swan vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Katie Swan 26¢ $2 2h
Ilkley: Katie Swan vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Katie Swan 29¢ $3 2h
Ilkley: Katie Swan vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Katie Swan 27¢ $3 2h
Ilkley: Katie Swan vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Katie Swan 27¢ $3 2h
Ilkley: Katie Swan vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Katie Swan 29¢ $3 2h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 40¢ $2 3h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 40¢ $3 3h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 40¢ $3 3h
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty Le BUY FaZe Vegas 53¢ $3 4h
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikos BUY Olympiacos B.C. 72¢ $4 4h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 45¢ $3 13h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 47¢ $3 13h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs ONIC (BO5) - MPL Indonesia Pl BUY Geek Fam ID 24¢ $3 14h
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz BUY KT Wiz 50¢ $3 15h
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz BUY KT Wiz 50¢ $3 15h
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes BUY Kiwoom Heroes 40¢ $2 15h
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes BUY Kiwoom Heroes 40¢ $3 15h
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes BUY Kiwoom Heroes 40¢ $3 15h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Under 58¢ $3 18h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 42¢ $2 19h
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. BUY Yes 49¢ $3 20h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Under 48¢ $2 21h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $4 30h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 30h
Set 1 Winner: Filip vs Kumstat BUY Filip 1¢ $5 31h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-14.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 417 -0.9% -10.4% 44% 43% -3.5%
≤30d 887 -5.2% -14.2% 42% 41% -9.3%
≤90d 887 -5.2% -14.2% 42% 41% -9.3%
all 887 -5.2% -14.2% 42% 41% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover70.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.2% 41% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -22.4% 39% -18.0%
15% -29.9% 36% -25.9%
20% -36.8% 33% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $84.18 · official $84.18 (match) · 1692 history records